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DOI | 10.1029/2018GL080963 |
Late-July Barrier for Subseasonal Forecast of Summer Daily Maximum Temperature Over Yangtze River Basin | |
Yang, Jing1,2,3; Zhu, Tao1,2; Gao, Miaoni4; Lin, Hai5; Wang, Bin6,7; Bao, Qing8 | |
2018-11-28 | |
发表期刊 | GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
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ISSN | 0094-8276 |
EISSN | 1944-8007 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 45期号:22页码:12610-12615 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China; USA; Canada |
英文摘要 | Dynamical subseasonal forecast skill of summer daily maximum temperature (T-max) over East China was evaluated based on a 20-year (1995-2014) subseasonal reforecast data set from the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts. A significant late-July barrier of subseasonal forecast skill was identified for the T-max over the Yangtze River Basin, which concurs with a reduction in the prediction skill for the local 500-hPa geopotential height. This barrier period corresponds to an abrupt transitional phase of the climatological intraseasonal oscillation when the western North Pacific subtropical high abruptly migrates northward from Yangtze River Basin to northern China. The transitional phase of the climatological intraseasonal oscillation features the largest day-to-day variance in the position of western North Pacific subtropical high, which may cause the drop of the subseasonal forecast skill for both the geopotential height and T-max. The results indicate that the atmospheric subseasonal predictability may be strongly affected by the phases of the local climatological intraseasonal variation. Plain Language Summary This study identified a significant late-July barrier of subseasonal forecast skill over the Yangtze River Basin and suggested that the atmospheric subseasonal predictability may be strongly affected by the phases of the local climatological intraseasonal variation. |
英文关键词 | daily maximum temperature subseasonal prediction forecast barrier |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000453250000057 |
WOS关键词 | HEAT-WAVE ; CHINA |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/26947 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Beijing Normal Univ, State Key Lab Earth Surface Proc & Resource Ecol, Acad Disaster Reduct & Emergency Management, Minist Civil Affairs,Fac Geog Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China; 2.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, Minist Educ, Beijing, Peoples R China; 3.SUNY Albany, Atmospher Sci Res Ctr, Albany, NY 12222 USA; 4.Beijing Normal Univ, Sch Syst Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China; 5.Environm & Climate Change Canada, Meteorol Res Div, Dorval, PQ, Canada; 6.Univ Hawaii Manoa, Dept Atmospher Sci, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA; 7.Univ Hawaii Manoa, Int Pacific Res Ctr, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA; 8.Chinese Acad Sci, IAP, State Key Lab Numer Modeling Atmospher Sci & Geop, Beijing, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yang, Jing,Zhu, Tao,Gao, Miaoni,et al. Late-July Barrier for Subseasonal Forecast of Summer Daily Maximum Temperature Over Yangtze River Basin[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2018,45(22):12610-12615. |
APA | Yang, Jing,Zhu, Tao,Gao, Miaoni,Lin, Hai,Wang, Bin,&Bao, Qing.(2018).Late-July Barrier for Subseasonal Forecast of Summer Daily Maximum Temperature Over Yangtze River Basin.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,45(22),12610-12615. |
MLA | Yang, Jing,et al."Late-July Barrier for Subseasonal Forecast of Summer Daily Maximum Temperature Over Yangtze River Basin".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 45.22(2018):12610-12615. |
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