GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1002/2017GL076770
Historical Tropospheric and Stratospheric Ozone Radiative Forcing Using the CMIP6 Database
Checa-Garcia, Ramiro1; Hegglin, Michaela I.1; Kinnison, Douglas2; Plummer, David A.3; Shine, Keith P.1
2018-04-16
发表期刊GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN0094-8276
EISSN1944-8007
出版年2018
卷号45期号:7页码:3264-3273
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家England; USA; Canada
英文摘要

We calculate ozone radiative forcing (RF) and stratospheric temperature adjustments for the period 1850-2014 using the newly available Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) ozone data set. The CMIP6 total ozone RF (1850s to 2000s) is 0.28 +/- 0.17 W m(-2) (which is 80% higher than our CMIP5 estimation), and 0.30 +/- 0.17 W m(-2) out to the present day (2014). The total ozone RF grows rapidly until the 1970s, slows toward the 2000s, and shows a renewed growth thereafter. Since the 1990s the shortwave RF exceeds the longwave RF. Global stratospheric ozone RF is positive between 1930 and 1970 and then turns negative but remains positive in the Northern Hemisphere throughout. Derived stratospheric temperature changes show a localized cooling in the subtropical lower stratosphere due to tropospheric ozone increases and cooling in the upper stratosphere due to ozone depletion by more than 1 K already prior to the satellite era (1980) and by more than 2 K out to the present day (2014).


Plain Language Summary Radiative forcing is a key concept used in climate science to ascertain the strength of different agents, such as greenhouse gases or aerosols among others, in driving climate change. In this context, ozone is recognized as one of the main contributors to radiative forcing according to recent assessments of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. However, the relative uncertainty remains higher than for other greenhouse gases. This paper evaluates the ozone radiative forcing via calculations based on a newly created ozone data set for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) phase 6, an initiative designed to better understand past, present, and future climate changes. In general, human activity has led to an increase in ozone concentrations in the lower atmosphere (the troposphere) and decreases in the upper atmosphere (the stratosphere); our paper investigates the effect of both these changes. Our results indicate that the CMIP ozone radiative forcing is 80% larger in the current phase 6 than a similar estimation based on data used in CMIP phase 5. We also present new insights into how ozone changes have led to stratospheric temperature changes, as well as the geographical distribution of ozone radiative forcing.


领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000435743400045
WOS关键词ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY ; TEMPERATURE TRENDS ; CLIMATE ; CONFIGURATION ; ATTRIBUTION ; REANALYSIS
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向Geology
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/27161
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Univ Reading, Dept Meteorol, Reading, Berks, England;
2.Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA;
3.Environm & Climate Change Canada, Montreal, PQ, Canada
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GB/T 7714
Checa-Garcia, Ramiro,Hegglin, Michaela I.,Kinnison, Douglas,et al. Historical Tropospheric and Stratospheric Ozone Radiative Forcing Using the CMIP6 Database[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2018,45(7):3264-3273.
APA Checa-Garcia, Ramiro,Hegglin, Michaela I.,Kinnison, Douglas,Plummer, David A.,&Shine, Keith P..(2018).Historical Tropospheric and Stratospheric Ozone Radiative Forcing Using the CMIP6 Database.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,45(7),3264-3273.
MLA Checa-Garcia, Ramiro,et al."Historical Tropospheric and Stratospheric Ozone Radiative Forcing Using the CMIP6 Database".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 45.7(2018):3264-3273.
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