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DOI10.1088/1748-9326/ab6d7e
Demonstrating GWP*: a means of reporting warming-equivalent emissions that captures the contrasting impacts of short- and long-lived climate pollutants
Lynch, John1; Cain, Michelle1; Pierrehumbert, Raymond1; Allen, Myles1,2
2020-04-01
发表期刊ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN1748-9326
出版年2020
卷号15期号:4
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家England
英文摘要

The atmospheric lifetime and radiative impacts of different climate pollutants can both differ markedly, so metrics that equate emissions using a single scaling factor, such as the 100-year Global Warming Potential (GWP(100)), can be misleading. An alternative approach is to report emissions as 'warming-equivalents' that result in similar warming impacts without requiring a like-for-like weighting per emission. GWP*, an alternative application of GWPs where the CO2-equivalence of short-lived climate pollutant emissions is predominantly determined by changes in their emission rate, provides a straightforward means of generating warming-equivalent emissions. In this letter we illustrate the contrasting climate impacts resulting from emissions of methane, a short-lived greenhouse gas, and CO2, and compare GWP(100) and GWP* CO2-equivalents for a number of simple emissions scenarios. We demonstrate that GWP* provides a useful indication of warming, while conventional application of GWP(100) falls short in many scenarios and particularly when methane emissions are stable or declining, with important implications for how we consider 'zero emission' or 'climate neutral' targets for sectors emitting different compositions of gases. We then illustrate how GWP* can provide an improved means of assessing alternative mitigation strategies. GWP* allows warming-equivalent emissions to be calculated directly from CO2-equivalent emissions reported using GWP(100), consistent with the Paris Rulebook agreed by the UNFCCC, on condition that short-lived and cumulative climate pollutants are aggregated separately, which is essential for transparency. It provides a direct link between emissions and anticipated warming impacts, supporting stocktakes of progress towards a long-term temperature goal and compatible with cumulative emissions budgets.


英文关键词climate change carbon dioxide equivalent carbon dioxide warming equivalent global warming potential GWP* methane
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000523508500001
WOS关键词POTENTIALS ; METRICS
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/279288
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Univ Oxford, Dept Phys, Oxford, England;
2.Univ Oxford, Environm Change Inst, Oxford, England
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Lynch, John,Cain, Michelle,Pierrehumbert, Raymond,et al. Demonstrating GWP*: a means of reporting warming-equivalent emissions that captures the contrasting impacts of short- and long-lived climate pollutants[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2020,15(4).
APA Lynch, John,Cain, Michelle,Pierrehumbert, Raymond,&Allen, Myles.(2020).Demonstrating GWP*: a means of reporting warming-equivalent emissions that captures the contrasting impacts of short- and long-lived climate pollutants.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,15(4).
MLA Lynch, John,et al."Demonstrating GWP*: a means of reporting warming-equivalent emissions that captures the contrasting impacts of short- and long-lived climate pollutants".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 15.4(2020).
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