Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.102029 |
A framework for nitrogen futures in the shared socioeconomic pathways | |
Kanter, David R.1; Winiwarter, Wilfried2,3; Bodirsky, Benjamin L.4; Bouwman, Lex5; Boyer, Elizabeth6; Buckle, Simon7; Compton, Jana E.8; Dalgaard, Tommy9; de Vries, Wim10; Leclere, David2; Leip, Adrian11; Mueller, Christoph4; Popp, Alexander4; Raghuram, Nandula12; Rao, Shilpa13; Sutton, Mark A.14; Tian, Hanqin15; Westhoek, Henk16; Zhang, Xin17; Zurek, Monika18 | |
2020-03-01 | |
发表期刊 | GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
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ISSN | 0959-3780 |
EISSN | 1872-9495 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 61 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA; Austria; Poland; Germany; Netherlands; France; Denmark; Italy; India; Norway; Scotland; England |
英文摘要 | Humanity's transformation of the nitrogen cycle has major consequences for ecosystems, climate and human health, making it one of the key environmental issues of our time. Understanding how trends could evolve over the course of the 21st century is crucial for scientists and decision-makers from local to global scales. Scenario analysis is the primary tool for doing so, and has been applied across all major environmental issues, including nitrogen pollution. However, to date most scenario efforts addressing nitrogen flows have either taken a narrow approach, focusing on a singular impact or sector, or have not been integrated within a broader scenario framework - a missed opportunity given the multiple environmental and socio-economic impacts that nitrogen pollution exacerbates. Capitalizing on our expanding knowledge of nitrogen flows, this study introduces a framework for new nitrogen-focused narratives based on the widely used Shared Socioeconomic Pathways that include all the major nitrogen-polluting sectors (agriculture, industry, transport and wastewater). These new narratives are the first to integrate the influence of climate and other environmental pollution control policies, while also incorporating explicit nitrogen-control measures. The next step is for them to be used as model inputs to evaluate the impact of different nitrogen production, consumption and loss trajectories, and thus advance understanding of how to address environmental impacts while simultaneously meeting key development goals. This effort is an important step in assessing how humanity can return to the planetary boundary of this essential element over the coming century. |
英文关键词 | Scenarios Nitrogen pollution Environmental policy |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000527300300004 |
WOS关键词 | EMISSIONS ; SCENARIOS ; POLLUTION ; DEMAND ; URBAN ; CYCLE ; FOOD |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Geography |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geography |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/279963 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.NYU, Dept Environm Studies, 285 Mercer St,9th Floor, New York, NY 10003 USA; 2.Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, Schlosspl 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria; 3.Univ Zielona Gora, Inst Environm Engn, Licealna 9, PL-65417 Zielona Gora, Poland; 4.Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, Telegrafenberg A31, D-14473 Potsdam, Germany; 5.Univ Utrecht, Fac Geosci, Vening Meineszgebouw A,Princetonlaan 8a, NL-3584 CB Utrecht, Netherlands; 6.Penn State Univ, Inst Energy & Environm, 304 Forest Resources Bldg, University Pk, PA 16802 USA; 7.Org Econ Cooperat & Dev, Environm Directorate, 2 Rue Andre Pascal, F-75775 Paris 16, France; 8.US EPA, Western Ecol Div, 200 SW 35th St, Corvallis, OR 97330 USA; 9.Aarhus Univ, Dept Agroecol, POB 50, DK-8830 Tjele, Denmark; 10.Wageningen Univ & Res, Environm Res, POB 47, NL-6700 AA Wageningen, Netherlands; 11.European Commiss, Joint Res Ctr, Via Fermi 2749, I-21027 Ispra, Italy; 12.Guru Gobind Singh Indraprastha Univ, Univ Sch Biotechnol, Sect 16C, Delhi 110078, India; 13.Norwegian Inst Publ Hlth, POB 222, N-0213 Oslo, Norway; 14.NERC Ctr Ecol & Hydrol, Bush Estate, Penicuik EH26 0QB, Midlothian, Scotland; 15.Auburn Univ, Int Ctr Climate & Global Change Res, Sch Forestry & Wildlife Sci, Auburn, AL 36849 USA; 16.PBL Netherlands Environm Assessment Agcy, POB 30314, NL-2500 GH The Hague, Netherlands; 17.Univ Maryland, Appalachian Lab, Ctr Environm Sci, 301 Braddock Rd, Frostburg, MD 21532 USA; 18.Univ Oxford, Environm Change Inst, Oxford OX1 3QY, England |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kanter, David R.,Winiwarter, Wilfried,Bodirsky, Benjamin L.,et al. A framework for nitrogen futures in the shared socioeconomic pathways[J]. GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS,2020,61. |
APA | Kanter, David R..,Winiwarter, Wilfried.,Bodirsky, Benjamin L..,Bouwman, Lex.,Boyer, Elizabeth.,...&Zurek, Monika.(2020).A framework for nitrogen futures in the shared socioeconomic pathways.GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS,61. |
MLA | Kanter, David R.,et al."A framework for nitrogen futures in the shared socioeconomic pathways".GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS 61(2020). |
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