Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1029/2019WR026092 |
Estimation of Direct and Indirect Economic Losses Caused by a Flood With Long-Lasting Inundation: Application to the 2011 Thailand Flood | |
Tanoue, M.1; Taguchi, R.2; Nakata, S.2; Watanabe, S.2; Fujimori, S.3,4,5; Hirabayashi, Y.1 | |
2020-05-01 | |
发表期刊 | WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH
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ISSN | 0043-1397 |
EISSN | 1944-7973 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 56期号:5 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Japan; Austria |
英文摘要 | River floods are common natural disasters that cause serious economic damage worldwide. In addition to direct economic damage, such as the destruction of physical assets, floods with long-lasting inundation cause direct and indirect economic losses within and outside the affected area. Direct economic losses include loss of opportunity, due to interruption of business activities, and the costs associated with emergency measures such as cleaning, while indirect economic losses affect sectors within the trade and supply network. Few studies have explicitly estimated direct and indirect economic losses in several sectors, due to the difficulty of modeling inundation depth and period at finer scales. Here we developed a global modeling framework to estimate the direct and indirect economic losses associated with floods using a computable general equilibrium model and a global river and inundation model, which can simulate the flood extent, depth, and period. Application of the method to the 2011 Thailand flood demonstrated that the estimated economic losses due to business interruption in the industry and service sectors totaled $14.7 billion, which was about two thirds of the estimated direct economic damage caused by the flood ($22.0 billion). The estimated indirect economic losses reduced the gross domestic product of Thailand by 4.81% in 2011, without considering transboundary effects, and will cause more than 0.5% reduction in gross domestic product even in 2030, resulting in $55.3 billion of total losses from 2011 to 2030. Comprehensive estimation of direct and indirect economic losses facilitates understanding of various types of flood-related economic risks during and after a flood. |
英文关键词 | Flood Thailand direct indirect economic losses computable general equilibrium model global river and inundation model |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000537736400006 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; RIVER FLOOD ; RISK ; DATABASE ; DELTA |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Limnology ; Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Marine & Freshwater Biology ; Water Resources |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/280658 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Shibaura Inst Technol, Grad Sch Engn & Sci, Tokyo, Japan; 2.Univ Tokyo, Grad Sch Engn, Tokyo, Japan; 3.Kyoto Univ, Grad Sch Engn, Kyoto, Japan; 4.NIES, Ctr Social & Environm Syst Res, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; 5.IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Tanoue, M.,Taguchi, R.,Nakata, S.,et al. Estimation of Direct and Indirect Economic Losses Caused by a Flood With Long-Lasting Inundation: Application to the 2011 Thailand Flood[J]. WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,2020,56(5). |
APA | Tanoue, M.,Taguchi, R.,Nakata, S.,Watanabe, S.,Fujimori, S.,&Hirabayashi, Y..(2020).Estimation of Direct and Indirect Economic Losses Caused by a Flood With Long-Lasting Inundation: Application to the 2011 Thailand Flood.WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,56(5). |
MLA | Tanoue, M.,et al."Estimation of Direct and Indirect Economic Losses Caused by a Flood With Long-Lasting Inundation: Application to the 2011 Thailand Flood".WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH 56.5(2020). |
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