Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1029/2020GL088166 |
Aerosol‐forced AMOC changes in CMIP6 historical simulations | |
Matthew B. Menary; Jon Robson; Richard Allan; Ben B. B. Booth; Christophe Cassou; Guillaume Gastineau; Jonathan Gregory; Dan Hodson; Colin Jones; Juliette Mignot; Mark Ringer; Rowan Sutton; Laura Wilcox; Rong Zhang | |
2020-07-08 | |
发表期刊 | Geophysical Research Letters
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出版年 | 2020 |
英文摘要 | The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) has been, and will continue to be, a key factor in the modulation of climate change both locally and globally. However, there remains considerable uncertainty in recent AMOC evolution. Here, we show that the multi‐model mean AMOC strengthened by approximately 10% from 1850‐1985 in new simulations from the 6th Coupled Model Inter‐comparison Project (CMIP6), a larger change than was seen in CMIP5. Across the models, the strength of the AMOC trend up to 1985 is related to a proxy for the strength of the aerosol forcing. Therefore, the multi‐model difference is a result of stronger anthropogenic aerosol forcing on average in CMIP6 than CMIP5, which is primarily due to more models including aerosol‐cloud interactions. However, observational constraints ‐ including a historical sea surface temperature fingerprint and shortwave radiative forcing in recent decades ‐ suggest that anthropogenic forcing and/or the AMOC response may be overestimated. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/283275 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Matthew B. Menary,Jon Robson,Richard Allan,等. Aerosol‐forced AMOC changes in CMIP6 historical simulations[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2020. |
APA | Matthew B. Menary.,Jon Robson.,Richard Allan.,Ben B. B. Booth.,Christophe Cassou.,...&Rong Zhang.(2020).Aerosol‐forced AMOC changes in CMIP6 historical simulations.Geophysical Research Letters. |
MLA | Matthew B. Menary,et al."Aerosol‐forced AMOC changes in CMIP6 historical simulations".Geophysical Research Letters (2020). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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