GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1029/2020GL088166
Aerosol‐forced AMOC changes in CMIP6 historical simulations
Matthew B. Menary; Jon Robson; Richard Allan; Ben B. B. Booth; Christophe Cassou; Guillaume Gastineau; Jonathan Gregory; Dan Hodson; Colin Jones; Juliette Mignot; Mark Ringer; Rowan Sutton; Laura Wilcox; Rong Zhang
2020-07-08
发表期刊Geophysical Research Letters
出版年2020
英文摘要

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) has been, and will continue to be, a key factor in the modulation of climate change both locally and globally. However, there remains considerable uncertainty in recent AMOC evolution. Here, we show that the multi‐model mean AMOC strengthened by approximately 10% from 1850‐1985 in new simulations from the 6th Coupled Model Inter‐comparison Project (CMIP6), a larger change than was seen in CMIP5. Across the models, the strength of the AMOC trend up to 1985 is related to a proxy for the strength of the aerosol forcing. Therefore, the multi‐model difference is a result of stronger anthropogenic aerosol forcing on average in CMIP6 than CMIP5, which is primarily due to more models including aerosol‐cloud interactions. However, observational constraints ‐ including a historical sea surface temperature fingerprint and shortwave radiative forcing in recent decades ‐ suggest that anthropogenic forcing and/or the AMOC response may be overestimated.

领域气候变化
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文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/283275
专题气候变化
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GB/T 7714
Matthew B. Menary,Jon Robson,Richard Allan,等. Aerosol‐forced AMOC changes in CMIP6 historical simulations[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2020.
APA Matthew B. Menary.,Jon Robson.,Richard Allan.,Ben B. B. Booth.,Christophe Cassou.,...&Rong Zhang.(2020).Aerosol‐forced AMOC changes in CMIP6 historical simulations.Geophysical Research Letters.
MLA Matthew B. Menary,et al."Aerosol‐forced AMOC changes in CMIP6 historical simulations".Geophysical Research Letters (2020).
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