Improved Seasonal Prediction of European Summer Temperatures With New Five-Layer Soil-Hydrology Scheme

doi:10.1002/2017GL076204

GSTDTAP > 气候变化

DOI	10.1002/2017GL076204
	Improved Seasonal Prediction of European Summer Temperatures With New Five-Layer Soil-Hydrology Scheme
	Bunzel, Felix 1; Mueller, Wolfgang A.1; Dobrynin, Mikhail 2; Froehlich, Kristina 3; Hagemann, Stefan 1,4; Pohlmann, Holger 1; Stacke, Tobias 1; Baehr, Johanna 2
	2018-01-16
发表期刊	GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN	0094-8276
EISSN	1944-8007
出版年	2018
卷号	45 期号:1 页码:346-353
文章类型	Article
语种	英语
国家	Germany
英文摘要	We evaluate the impact of a new five-layer soil-hydrology scheme on seasonal hindcast skill of 2m temperatures over Europe obtained with the Max Planck Institute Earth System Model (MPI-ESM). Assimilation experiments from 1981 to 2010 and 10-member seasonal hindcasts initialized on 1 May each year are performed with MPI-ESM in two soil configurations, one using a bucket scheme and one a new five-layer soil-hydrology scheme. We find the seasonal hindcast skill for European summer temperatures to improve with the five-layer scheme compared to the bucket scheme and investigate possible causes for these improvements. First, improved indirect soil moisture assimilation allows for enhanced soil moisture-temperature feedbacks in the hindcasts. Additionally, this leads to improved prediction of anomalies in the 500hPa geopotential height surface, reflecting more realistic atmospheric circulation patterns over Europe.
领域	气候变化
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000423431800039
WOS关键词	MODEL ; INITIALIZATION ; ASSIMILATION ; IMPACT ; WAVE
WOS类目	Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向	Geology
引用统计
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/28987
专题	气候变化
作者单位	1.Max Planck Inst Meteorol, Hamburg, Germany; 2.Univ Hamburg, Inst Oceanog, Ctr Earth Syst Res & Sustainabil, Hamburg, Germany; 3.Deutsch Wetterdienst, Offenbach, Germany; 4.Helmholtz Zentrum Geesthacht, Inst Coastal Res, Geesthacht, Germany
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Bunzel, Felix,Mueller, Wolfgang A.,Dobrynin, Mikhail,et al. Improved Seasonal Prediction of European Summer Temperatures With New Five-Layer Soil-Hydrology Scheme[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2018,45(1):346-353.
APA	Bunzel, Felix.,Mueller, Wolfgang A..,Dobrynin, Mikhail.,Froehlich, Kristina.,Hagemann, Stefan.,...&Baehr, Johanna.(2018).Improved Seasonal Prediction of European Summer Temperatures With New Five-Layer Soil-Hydrology Scheme.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,45(1),346-353.
MLA	Bunzel, Felix,et al."Improved Seasonal Prediction of European Summer Temperatures With New Five-Layer Soil-Hydrology Scheme".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 45.1(2018):346-353.