Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1175/JAS-D-17-0008.1 |
The Role of Inner-Core Moisture in Tropical Cyclone Predictability and Practical Forecast Skill | |
Emanuel, Kerry1; Zhang, Fuqing2,3 | |
2017-07-01 | |
发表期刊 | JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
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ISSN | 0022-4928 |
EISSN | 1520-0469 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 74期号:7 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | Errors in tropical cyclone intensity forecasts are dominated by initial-condition errors out to at least a few days. Initialization errors are usually thought of in terms of position and intensity, but here it is shown that growth of intensity error is at least as sensitive to the specification of inner-core moisture as to that of the wind field. Implications of this finding for tropical cyclone observational strategies and for overall predictability of storm intensity are discussed. |
领域 | 地球科学 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000405556700012 |
WOS关键词 | RADIATIVE-CONVECTIVE EQUILIBRIUM ; INTENSITY ; ATMOSPHERE |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/29668 |
专题 | 地球科学 |
作者单位 | 1.MIT, Lorenz Ctr, 77 Massachusetts Ave, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA; 2.Penn State Univ, Dept Meteorol & Atmospher Sci, University Pk, PA 16802 USA; 3.Penn State Univ, Ctr Adv Data Assimilat & Predictabil Tech, University Pk, PA 16802 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Emanuel, Kerry,Zhang, Fuqing. The Role of Inner-Core Moisture in Tropical Cyclone Predictability and Practical Forecast Skill[J]. JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES,2017,74(7). |
APA | Emanuel, Kerry,&Zhang, Fuqing.(2017).The Role of Inner-Core Moisture in Tropical Cyclone Predictability and Practical Forecast Skill.JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES,74(7). |
MLA | Emanuel, Kerry,et al."The Role of Inner-Core Moisture in Tropical Cyclone Predictability and Practical Forecast Skill".JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES 74.7(2017). |
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