GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1007/s10584-017-2122-x
Beyond headline mitigation numbers: we need more transparent and comparable NDCs to achieve the Paris Agreement on climate change
Pauw, W. P.1,2,3; Klein, Richard J. T.4,5; Mbeva, Kennedy6,7; Dzebo, Adis1,2,3; Cassanmagnago, Davide; Rudloff, Anna8
2018-03-01
发表期刊CLIMATIC CHANGE
ISSN0165-0009
EISSN1573-1480
出版年2018
卷号147页码:23-29
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Germany; Sweden; Netherlands; Kenya; Australia
英文摘要

Nationally determined contributions (NDCs) were key to reaching the Paris Agreement and will be instrumental in implementing it. Research was quick to identify the 'headline numbers' of NDCs: if these climate action plans were fully implemented, global mean warming by 2100 would be reduced from approximately 3.6 to 2.7A degrees C above pre-industrial levels (Hohne et al. Climate Pol 17:1-17, 2016; Rogelj et al. Nature 534:631-639, 2016). However, beyond these headline mitigation numbers, NDCs are more difficult to analyse and compare. UN climate negotiations have so far provided limited guidance on NDC formulation, which has resulted in varying scopes and contents of NDCs, often lacking details concerning ambitions. If NDCs are to become the long-term instrument for international cooperation, negotiation, and ratcheting up of ambitions to address climate change, then they need to become more transparent and comparable, both with respect to mitigation goals, and to issues such as adaptation, finance, and the way in which NDCs are aligned with national policies. Our analysis of INDCs and NDCs (Once a party ratifies the Paris Agreement, it is invited to turn its Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC) into an NDC. We refer to results from our INDC analysis rather than our NDC analysis in this commentary unless otherwise stated.) shows that they omit important mitigation sectors, do not adequately provide details on costs and financing of implementation, and are poorly designed to meet assessment and review needs.


领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000425959700003
WOS关键词TRANSPORT
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/29866
专题气候变化
作者单位1.German Dev Inst, Bonn, Germany;
2.Stockholm Environm Inst, Stockholm, Sweden;
3.Univ Utrecht, Utrecht, Netherlands;
4.Stockholm Environm Inst, Bonn, Germany;
5.Linkoping Univ, Ctr Climate Sci & Policy Res, Linkoping, Sweden;
6.African Ctr Technol Studies, Nairobi, Kenya;
7.Univ Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic, Australia;
8.Univ Kiel, Kiel, Germany
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Pauw, W. P.,Klein, Richard J. T.,Mbeva, Kennedy,et al. Beyond headline mitigation numbers: we need more transparent and comparable NDCs to achieve the Paris Agreement on climate change[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2018,147:23-29.
APA Pauw, W. P.,Klein, Richard J. T.,Mbeva, Kennedy,Dzebo, Adis,Cassanmagnago, Davide,&Rudloff, Anna.(2018).Beyond headline mitigation numbers: we need more transparent and comparable NDCs to achieve the Paris Agreement on climate change.CLIMATIC CHANGE,147,23-29.
MLA Pauw, W. P.,et al."Beyond headline mitigation numbers: we need more transparent and comparable NDCs to achieve the Paris Agreement on climate change".CLIMATIC CHANGE 147(2018):23-29.
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