Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1007/s10584-017-2073-2 |
Extreme flows and water availability of the Brahmaputra River under 1.5 and 2 A degrees C global warming scenarios | |
Mohammed, Khaled1; Islam, Akm Saiful1; Islam, G. M. Tarekul1; Alfieri, Lorenzo2; Bala, Sujit Kumar1; Khan, Md Jamal Uddin1 | |
2017-11-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE
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ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 145 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Bangladesh; Italy |
英文摘要 | The recently reached Paris Agreement at the 21st Conference of the Parties (COP21) of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in 2015 includes a goal of pursuing efforts to limit the global warming at 1.5 A degrees C. Following this, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has accepted an invitation by the UNFCCC to create a special report in 2018 which will include the impacts of 1.5 A degrees C global warming on various Earth systems. It is therefore a priority now for the scientific community to quantify these impacts at regional scales. As a contribution to this effort, this study assesses the impacts of 1.5 and 2 A degrees C global warming on the extreme flows and water availability of the Brahmaputra River, which is both an essential source of freshwater for its lowermost-riparian Bangladesh and also an unavoidable source of disastrous floods. Future flows are simulated with the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) and bias-corrected weather data of an ensemble of 11 climate projections from the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX). Results indicate that floods will be more frequent and flood magnitudes greater at 2 A degrees C specific warming level (SWL) than at 1.5 A degrees C SWL. On the contrary, low flows are expected to be less frequent and low flow values to be higher at 2 A degrees C SWL than at 1.5 A degrees C SWL. Water availability will likely be greater at 2 A degrees C SWL than at 1.5 A degrees C SWL from January to August. For the remaining months, water availability will likely be greater at 1.5 A degrees C SWL rather than at 2 A degrees C SWL. |
英文关键词 | Brahmaputra River Bangladesh Climate change 1,5 degrees C Extreme flows SWAT model |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000415031800012 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; IMPACTS ; MODEL ; HYDROLOGY ; GANGES ; TRENDS |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/29910 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.BUET, IWFM, Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh; 2.European Commiss, Joint Res Ctr, Directorate E Space Secur & Migrat, I-21027 Ispra, Italy |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Mohammed, Khaled,Islam, Akm Saiful,Islam, G. M. Tarekul,et al. Extreme flows and water availability of the Brahmaputra River under 1.5 and 2 A degrees C global warming scenarios[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2017,145. |
APA | Mohammed, Khaled,Islam, Akm Saiful,Islam, G. M. Tarekul,Alfieri, Lorenzo,Bala, Sujit Kumar,&Khan, Md Jamal Uddin.(2017).Extreme flows and water availability of the Brahmaputra River under 1.5 and 2 A degrees C global warming scenarios.CLIMATIC CHANGE,145. |
MLA | Mohammed, Khaled,et al."Extreme flows and water availability of the Brahmaputra River under 1.5 and 2 A degrees C global warming scenarios".CLIMATIC CHANGE 145(2017). |
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