Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1007/s10584-017-1960-x |
Probabilistic climate change scenarios for viticultural potential in Quebec | |
Roy, Philippe1; Grenier, Patrick1; Barriault, Evelyne2; Logan, Travis1; Blondlot, Anne1; Bourgeois, Gaetan3; Chaumont, Diane1 | |
2017-07-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE |
ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 143 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Canada |
英文摘要 | Climate conditions for Quebec's viticultural potential (VP) during upcoming decades are estimated through high- resolution probabilistic climate scenarios (PCS) based on a large ensemble of simulations from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). VP is investigated through four temperature-related indices identified as current limiting factors for cold, northern latitudes: length of frost-free season (CNFD), growing degree-days (DDB10), annual winter minimum temperature (AWMT), and annual number of very cold days (ANVCD). Results show that by 2040-2050, most of southern Quebec can reasonably expect favorable climatic conditions, with enough consecutive frost-free days and growing degree-days for growing current hybrid-grape varieties, as well as some Vitis vinifera grape varieties. Regions with new VP are identified, for example southern Outaouais and along the St-Lawrence River. Cold winter temperatures remain problematic, but technical solutions to this limiting factor exist. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000404605300004 |
WOS关键词 | WINE ; TEMPERATURE ; PRECIPITATION |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/29962 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Ouranos, 550 Rue Sherbrooke Ouest, Montreal, PQ, Canada; 2.Minist Agr Pecheries & Alimentat Quebec, 109 Rue St Charles,Bur 1-01B, St Jean, PQ J3B 2C2, Canada; 3.Agr & Agri Food Canada, 430 Gouin Blvd, St Jean, PQ J3B 3E6, Canada |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Roy, Philippe,Grenier, Patrick,Barriault, Evelyne,et al. Probabilistic climate change scenarios for viticultural potential in Quebec[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2017,143. |
APA | Roy, Philippe.,Grenier, Patrick.,Barriault, Evelyne.,Logan, Travis.,Blondlot, Anne.,...&Chaumont, Diane.(2017).Probabilistic climate change scenarios for viticultural potential in Quebec.CLIMATIC CHANGE,143. |
MLA | Roy, Philippe,et al."Probabilistic climate change scenarios for viticultural potential in Quebec".CLIMATIC CHANGE 143(2017). |
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