Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1007/s10584-018-2271-6 |
Observed and projected climate change in the European region during the twentieth and twenty-first centuries according to Feddema | |
Breuer, Hajnalka1; Acs, Ferenc1; Skarbit, Nora2 | |
2018-10-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE |
ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 150页码:377-390 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Hungary |
英文摘要 | Climate change in the European region during the twentieth and twenty-first centuries is analyzed according to Feddema's method. Precipitation and air temperature data from the twentieth century are taken from the Climatic Research Unit, while data for the twenty-first century are takenfrom the ENSEMBLES climate change project. The latter were bias-corrected to ensure homogeneity across the twentieth and twenty-first centuries. Climate classes based on monthly and annual values of potential evapotranspiration, precipitation and their ratio, are defined for 30-year averages, from which trend and spatial agreement analysis are calculated. There are separate classes for annual values and for intra-annual variation. The results indicate that the change of annual climate characteristics willbe much more intense in the twenty-first than it was in the twentieth century. The dominant process in the projections is warming, mostly via cold to cool (about 45% of grid points) in north Europe and cool to warm (about 8% of grid points) transformations. The second most important process is the drying of moderately moist classes affecting about 10% of the grid points in south Europe. Changes in intra-annual variability classes are more common than changes in the annual ones during the twentieth century. The chance of increase in intra-annual temperature variation from high to extreme is about 5% during the course of the twentieth century, and about 10% in the following century. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000448034000016 |
WOS关键词 | KOPPEN CLASSIFICATION ; LAST CENTURY ; SHIFTS ; TEMPERATURE ; ENSEMBLE ; MOISTURE ; MODELS ; ZONES ; MAPS |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/30051 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Eotvos Lorand Univ, Dept Meteorol, Pazmany Ps 1-A, H-1117 Budapest, Hungary; 2.Univ Szeged, Dept Climatol & Landscape Ecol, Dugon Sq 13, H-6720 Szeged, Hungary |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Breuer, Hajnalka,Acs, Ferenc,Skarbit, Nora. Observed and projected climate change in the European region during the twentieth and twenty-first centuries according to Feddema[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2018,150:377-390. |
APA | Breuer, Hajnalka,Acs, Ferenc,&Skarbit, Nora.(2018).Observed and projected climate change in the European region during the twentieth and twenty-first centuries according to Feddema.CLIMATIC CHANGE,150,377-390. |
MLA | Breuer, Hajnalka,et al."Observed and projected climate change in the European region during the twentieth and twenty-first centuries according to Feddema".CLIMATIC CHANGE 150(2018):377-390. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论