Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1007/s10584-018-2178-2 |
Implications of projected climate change on winter road systems in Ontario's Far North, Canada | |
Hori, Yukari; Cheng, Vincent Y. S.; Gough, William A.; Jien, Jerry Y.; Tsuji, Leonard J. S. | |
2018-05-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE
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ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 148页码:109-122 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Canada |
英文摘要 | Understanding climate change impacts on winter road systems in Ontario's Far North is critical due to the high dependence on such seasonal corridors by local residences, particularly among remote First Nations communities. In recent years, a warmer climate has resulted in a shorter winter road season and an increase in unreliable road conditions, thus limiting access among remote communities. This study focused on examining the future freezing degree day (FDD) accumulations during the preconditioning period of the winter roads at five locations using the multi-model ensembles of general circulation models (GCMs) and regional climate models (RCMs), under the representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios. The Statistical DownScaling Model Decision Centric Version 5 (SDSM-DC) was applied to validate the baseline climate. The results from the CMIP5 showed that by mid-century, the trends of FDDs under RCP4.5 for Moosonee and Kapuskasing were projected to decrease below the lowest threshold with the mean FDDs at 376 and 363, respectively. Under RCP8.5, the mean FDDs for Lansdowne House and Red Lake were projected to be below the lowest threshold, at 356 and 305, respectively, by the end of the century. Results of the FDD threshold measure indicated that climate conditions would possibly be unfavorable during the winter road construction period by mid-century for Moosonee and Kapuskasing and for Lansdowne House and Red Lake by the end of the century. For Big Trout Lake, on the other hand, climate conditions are expected to remain favorable for the winter road construction through the end of 2100. |
英文关键词 | Climate change Climate model projection Ontario Winter road |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000431788500008 |
WOS关键词 | HUDSON-BAY ; SCENARIOS ; IMPACTS ; TRENDS ; DATES |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/30056 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | Univ Toronto Scarborough, Dept Phys & Environm Sci, 1265 Mil Trail, Scarborough, ON M1C 1A4, Canada |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Hori, Yukari,Cheng, Vincent Y. S.,Gough, William A.,et al. Implications of projected climate change on winter road systems in Ontario's Far North, Canada[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2018,148:109-122. |
APA | Hori, Yukari,Cheng, Vincent Y. S.,Gough, William A.,Jien, Jerry Y.,&Tsuji, Leonard J. S..(2018).Implications of projected climate change on winter road systems in Ontario's Far North, Canada.CLIMATIC CHANGE,148,109-122. |
MLA | Hori, Yukari,et al."Implications of projected climate change on winter road systems in Ontario's Far North, Canada".CLIMATIC CHANGE 148(2018):109-122. |
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