GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1007/s10584-017-2132-8
The safe carbon budget
van der Ploeg, Frederick1,2,3
2018-03-01
发表期刊CLIMATIC CHANGE
ISSN0165-0009
EISSN1573-1480
出版年2018
卷号147页码:47-59
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家England; Netherlands; Russia
英文摘要

Cumulative emissions drive peak global warming and determine the carbon budget needed to keep temperature below 2 or 1.5 A degrees C. This safe carbon budget is low if uncertainty about the transient climate response is high and risk tolerance (willingness to accept risk of overshooting the temperature target) is low. Together with energy costs, this budget determines the optimal carbon price and how quickly fossil fuel is abated and replaced by renewable energy. This price is the sum of the present discounted value of all future losses in aggregate production due to emitting one ton of carbon today plus the cost of peak warming that rises over time to reflect the increasing scarcity of carbon as temperature approaches its upper limit. If policy makers ignore production losses, the carbon price rises more rapidly. If they ignore the peak temperature constraint, the carbon price rises less rapidly. The alternative of adjusting damages upwards to factor in the peak warming constraint leads initially to a higher carbon price which rises less rapidly.


领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000425959700005
WOS关键词2 DEGREES-C ; SOCIAL COST ; CLIMATE ; EMISSIONS ; ECONOMICS ; TARGETS ; POLICY ; GROWTH ; RISK
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/30172
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Univ Oxford, Dept Econ, OXCARRE, Manor Rd Bldg, Oxford OX1 3UQ, England;
2.Vrije Univ Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1105, NL-1081 HV Amsterdam, Netherlands;
3.St Petersburg State Univ, 7-9 Univ Skaya Nab, St Petersburg 199034, Russia
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
van der Ploeg, Frederick. The safe carbon budget[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2018,147:47-59.
APA van der Ploeg, Frederick.(2018).The safe carbon budget.CLIMATIC CHANGE,147,47-59.
MLA van der Ploeg, Frederick."The safe carbon budget".CLIMATIC CHANGE 147(2018):47-59.
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
查看访问统计
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[van der Ploeg, Frederick]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[van der Ploeg, Frederick]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[van der Ploeg, Frederick]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。