GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1088/1748-9326/aaf8ee
Nonlinear impacts of future anthropogenic aerosol emissions on Arctic warming
Dobricic, S.1; Pozzoli, L.1; Vignati, E.1; Van Dingenen, R.1; Wilson, J.1; Russo, S.1; Klimont, Z.2
2019-03-01
发表期刊ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN1748-9326
出版年2019
卷号14期号:3
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Italy; Austria
英文摘要

Past reductions of anthropogenic aerosol concentrations in Europe and North America could have amplified Arctic warming. In the future the impact of air pollution policies may differ, because the major anthropogenic sources of atmospheric aerosols are increasingly located in Asia. In this study numerical experiments evaluating only direct aerosol effects on atmospheric temperatures indicate that, while reduced carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions weaken Arctic warming, direct radiative forcing effects by reductions of anthropogenic aerosol concentrations, additional to those obtained by lower CO2 emissions, can either amplify or diminish it. Interactions between regionally modified radiation in Asia and internal climate variability may differently initiate and sustain atmospheric planetary waves propagating into the Arctic. In a nonlinear manner planetary waves may redistribute atmospheric and oceanic meridional heat fluxes at the high latitudes and either amplify or diminish Arctic warming in 2050. Lower CO2 concentrations might apparently contribute to reduce the interactions between the Arctic system and the lower latitudes, thus reducing the influence of strong air quality measures in Asia on the Arctic amplification of global warming. While past and present air pollution policies could have amplified Arctic warming, in the future the effects from atmospheric pollution reductions are less certain, depending on the future CO2 concentrations, and requiring improved simulations of changing aerosol concentrations and their interactions with clouds in Asia and the Arctic.


英文关键词Arctic warming climate change air pollution
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000461222100001
WOS关键词SEA-ICE ; GREENHOUSE-GAS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; AIR-POLLUTION ; AMPLIFICATION ; MODEL ; TEMPERATURE ; PRECIPITATION ; RESPONSES ; MONSOON
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/31022
专题气候变化
作者单位1.European Commiss, Joint Res Ctr, Ispra, Italy;
2.Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, Laxenburg, Austria
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Dobricic, S.,Pozzoli, L.,Vignati, E.,et al. Nonlinear impacts of future anthropogenic aerosol emissions on Arctic warming[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019,14(3).
APA Dobricic, S..,Pozzoli, L..,Vignati, E..,Van Dingenen, R..,Wilson, J..,...&Klimont, Z..(2019).Nonlinear impacts of future anthropogenic aerosol emissions on Arctic warming.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,14(3).
MLA Dobricic, S.,et al."Nonlinear impacts of future anthropogenic aerosol emissions on Arctic warming".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 14.3(2019).
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