Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1111/ele.12747 |
Effect of historical land-use and climate change on tree-climate relationships in the upper Midwestern United States | |
Goring, Simon J.1; Williams, John W.1,2 | |
2017-04-01 | |
发表期刊 | ECOLOGY LETTERS
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ISSN | 1461-023X |
EISSN | 1461-0248 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 20期号:4 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | Contemporary forest inventory data are widely used to understand environmental controls on tree species distributions and to construct models to project forest responses to climate change, but the stability and representativeness of contemporary tree-climate relationships are poorly understood. We show that tree-climate relationships for 15 tree genera in the upper Midwestern US have significantly altered over the last two centuries due to historical land-use and climate change. Realised niches have shifted towards higher minimum temperatures and higher rainfall. A new attribution method implicates both historical climate change and land-use in these shifts, with the relative importance varying among genera and climate variables. Most climate/land-use interactions are compounding, in which historical land-use reinforces shifts in species-climate relationships toward wetter distributions, or confounding, in which land-use complicates shifts towards warmer distributions. Compounding interactions imply that contemporary-based models of species distributions may underestimate species resilience to climate change. |
英文关键词 | Anthropocene climate change climate disequilibrium forest inventory and analysis (FIA) fundamental niche historical ecology land-use niche shift Public Land Survey System realised niche |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000397100900007 |
WOS关键词 | PLANT FUNCTIONAL TYPES ; SPECIES DISTRIBUTIONS ; LATE QUATERNARY ; NORTH-AMERICA ; HABITAT LOSS ; VEGETATION ; NICHE ; FUTURE ; RANGE ; ECOSYSTEMS |
WOS类目 | Ecology |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/31156 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Wisconsin, Dept Geog, 550 N Pk St, Madison, WI 53706 USA; 2.Univ Wisconsin, Ctr Climat Res, 1225 W Dayton St, Madison, WI 53706 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Goring, Simon J.,Williams, John W.. Effect of historical land-use and climate change on tree-climate relationships in the upper Midwestern United States[J]. ECOLOGY LETTERS,2017,20(4). |
APA | Goring, Simon J.,&Williams, John W..(2017).Effect of historical land-use and climate change on tree-climate relationships in the upper Midwestern United States.ECOLOGY LETTERS,20(4). |
MLA | Goring, Simon J.,et al."Effect of historical land-use and climate change on tree-climate relationships in the upper Midwestern United States".ECOLOGY LETTERS 20.4(2017). |
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