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DOI | 10.1029/2021GL093596 |
The longest 2020 Meiyu season over the past 60 years: Subseasonal perspective and its predictions | |
Shaobo Qiao; Dong Chen; Bin Wang; Ho‐; Nam Cheung; Fei Liu; Jianbo Cheng; Shankai Tang; Zengping Zhang; Guolin Feng; Wenjie Dong | |
2021-04-26 | |
发表期刊 | Geophysical Research Letters
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出版年 | 2021 |
英文摘要 | The record‐long 2020 Meiyu season since 1961 caused severe floods over the Yangtze and Huaihe River valleys (YHRV). Why the Meiyu duration doubled in 2020 remains a puzzle. We show that the long‐lasting Meiyu can be divided into three stages: advanced‐onset, strong‐persisting, and delayed‐withdrawal. The advanced‐onset was associated with an extremely negative‐phase East Atlantic/West Russia teleconnection. The strong‐persisting was attributed to a positive‐phase Pacific–Japan (PJ) pattern sustained by La Niña's rapid development. The delayed‐withdrawal was related to the combined effect of a positive PJ pattern and a mid‐troposphere “two ridge–one trough” pattern over Asia. Two subseasonal forecasting systems predicted the positive rainfall anomalies over the YHRV in the first two stages, but not the third stage, which may be associated with poor prediction of the two ridge–one trough pattern. These results highlight the role of subseasonal evolution in extreme climate events. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/324963 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Shaobo Qiao,Dong Chen,Bin Wang,et al. The longest 2020 Meiyu season over the past 60 years: Subseasonal perspective and its predictions[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2021. |
APA | Shaobo Qiao.,Dong Chen.,Bin Wang.,Ho‐.,Nam Cheung.,...&Wenjie Dong.(2021).The longest 2020 Meiyu season over the past 60 years: Subseasonal perspective and its predictions.Geophysical Research Letters. |
MLA | Shaobo Qiao,et al."The longest 2020 Meiyu season over the past 60 years: Subseasonal perspective and its predictions".Geophysical Research Letters (2021). |
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