GSTDTAP  > 资源环境科学
DOI10.1016/j.euroecorev.2020.103477
Malthus in the light of climate change
Lucas Bretschger
2020
出版年2020
国家瑞士
领域资源环境
英文摘要To reconsider the Malthusian predictions of natural limits to economic development, the paper develops a multi-sector growth model with exhaustible resource extraction, investments in physical and knowledge capital, climate change, and endogenous fertility. Economic growth is driven by endogenous innovations which increase in the availability and productivity of research labour. Poor substitution of natural resources triggers sectoral change. Climate change is the result of polluting resource use which is, like consumption and investments, based on the intertemporal optimization of the households. Highlighting the importance of bounded resource supply and of rational extraction decisions I show that climate change is independent of population growth in steady state and there is no causal relationship between climate and population during transition to steady state. The consumption per capita growth rate rises in the innovation rate and the output elasticities of labour and capital in the different sectors. Unlike climate policy, population policy is not warranted; it may be counterproductive because labour is crucial for the research sector.
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来源平台Centre for Energy Policy and Economics
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文献类型科技报告
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/329958
专题资源环境科学
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Lucas Bretschger. Malthus in the light of climate change,2020.
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