资源环境科技发展态势分析平台

Sea-ice loss and radiative feedbacks have been proposed to explain Arctic amplification (AA) – the enhanced Arctic warming under increased greenhouse gases, but their relationship is unclear. By analyzing coupled CESM1 simulations with 1%/year CO₂ increases, we show that without large sea-ice loss and AA, the lapse rate, Planck, and surface albedo feedbacks are greatly reduced, while the positive water vapor feedback changes little. The positive Arctic lapse rate feedback, which results from enhanced surface warming rather than the high stability of Arctic air, and changes in atmospheric energy transport across the Arctic Circle are a result, not a cause, of AA; while the water vapor feedback also plays a minor role. Instead, AA results from enhanced winter oceanic heating associated with sea-ice loss that is aided by a positive surface albedo feedback in summer and positive cloud feedback in winter.