Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1029/2021GL095778 |
Biased estimates of Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity and Transient Climate Response derived from historical CMIP6 simulations | |
Yue Dong; Kyle C. Armour; Cristian Proistosescu; Timothy Andrews; David S. Battisti; Piers M. Forster; David Paynter; Christopher J. Smith; Hideo Shiogama | |
2021-12-09 | |
发表期刊 | Geophysical Research Letters
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出版年 | 2021 |
英文摘要 | This study assesses the effective climate sensitivity (EffCS) and transient climate response (TCR) derived from global energy budget constraints within historical simulations of 8 CMIP6 global climate models (GCMs). These calculations are enabled by use of the Radiative Forcing Model Intercomparison Project (RFMIP) simulations, which permit accurate quantification of the radiative forcing. Long-term historical energy budget constraints generally underestimate EffCS from CO2 quadrupling and TCR from CO2 ramping, owing to changes in radiative feedbacks and changes in ocean heat uptake efficiency. Atmospheric GCMs forced by observed warming patterns produce lower values of EffCS that are more in line with those inferred from observed historical energy budget changes. The differences in the EffCS estimates from historical energy budget constraints of models and observations are traced to discrepancies between modeled and observed historical surface warming patterns. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/343041 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yue Dong,Kyle C. Armour,Cristian Proistosescu,et al. Biased estimates of Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity and Transient Climate Response derived from historical CMIP6 simulations[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2021. |
APA | Yue Dong.,Kyle C. Armour.,Cristian Proistosescu.,Timothy Andrews.,David S. Battisti.,...&Hideo Shiogama.(2021).Biased estimates of Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity and Transient Climate Response derived from historical CMIP6 simulations.Geophysical Research Letters. |
MLA | Yue Dong,et al."Biased estimates of Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity and Transient Climate Response derived from historical CMIP6 simulations".Geophysical Research Letters (2021). |
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