Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/s41561-017-0029-9 |
Southward shift of the global wind energy resource under high carbon dioxide emissions | |
Karnauskas, Kristopher B.1,2; Lundquist, Julie K.1,3; Zhang, Lei1 | |
2018 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE GEOSCIENCE |
ISSN | 1752-0894 |
EISSN | 1752-0908 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 11期号:1页码:38-+ |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | The use of wind energy resource is an integral part of many nations' strategies towards realizing the carbon emissions reduction targets set forth in the Paris Agreement, and global installed wind power cumulative capacity has grown on average by 22% per year since 2006. However, assessments of wind energy resource are usually based on today's climate, rather than taking into account that anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions continue to modify the global atmospheric circulation. Here, we apply an industry wind turbine power curve to simulations of high and low future emissions scenarios in an ensemble of ten fully coupled global climate models to investigate large-scale changes in wind power across the globe. Our calculations reveal decreases in wind power across the Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudes and increases across the tropics and Southern Hemisphere, with substantial regional variations. The changes across the northern mid-latitudes are robust responses over time in both emissions scenarios, whereas the Southern Hemisphere changes appear critically sensitive to each individual emissions scenario. In addition, we find that established features of climate change can explain these patterns: polar amplification is implicated in the northern mid-latitude decrease in wind power, and enhanced land-sea thermal gradients account for the tropical and southern subtropical increases. |
领域 | 地球科学 ; 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000423842000016 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE IMPACTS ; UNITED-STATES ; POWER RESOURCES ; PROJECTIONS ; ENSEMBLE ; FARMS ; SPEED ; CMIP5 ; PLAINS ; EUROPE |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/34969 |
专题 | 地球科学 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Colorado, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, Boulder, CO 80309 USA; 2.Univ Colorado, Cooperat Inst Res Environm Sci, Boulder, CO 80309 USA; 3.Univ Colorado, Renewable & Sustainable Energy Inst, Boulder, CO 80309 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Karnauskas, Kristopher B.,Lundquist, Julie K.,Zhang, Lei. Southward shift of the global wind energy resource under high carbon dioxide emissions[J]. NATURE GEOSCIENCE,2018,11(1):38-+. |
APA | Karnauskas, Kristopher B.,Lundquist, Julie K.,&Zhang, Lei.(2018).Southward shift of the global wind energy resource under high carbon dioxide emissions.NATURE GEOSCIENCE,11(1),38-+. |
MLA | Karnauskas, Kristopher B.,et al."Southward shift of the global wind energy resource under high carbon dioxide emissions".NATURE GEOSCIENCE 11.1(2018):38-+. |
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