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DOI | 10.1007/s00382-017-3635-8 |
Mistral and Tramontane wind systems in climate simulations from 1950 to 2100 | |
Obermann-Hellhund, Anika1; Conte, Dario2; Somot, Samuel3,4; Torma, Csaba Zsolt5,6; Ahrens, Bodo1 | |
2018 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATE DYNAMICS |
ISSN | 0930-7575 |
EISSN | 1432-0894 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 50页码:693-703 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Germany; Italy; France; Hungary |
英文摘要 | The characteristics of the mesoscale Mistral and Tramontane winds under changing climate conditions are of great interest for risk assessments. In this study, a classification algorithm is applied to identify Mistral and Tramontane-permitting sea-level pressure patterns, thus allowing for estimates of their future characteristics. Five simulations with three regional climate models on a 0.44 grid and five global circulation models are assessed for the representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5. Regional climate simulations driven by ERA-Interim are used to test the classification algorithm and to estimate its accuracy. The derived Mistral and Tramontane time series are discussed. The results for the ERA-Interim period show that the classification algorithm and the regional climate models work well in terms of the number of Mistral and Tramontane days per year, but the results overestimate the average length of such events. For both the RCPs, only small changes in Mistral frequency were found in both regional and global climate simulations. Most simulations show a decrease in Tramontane frequencies and average period lengths during the 21st century. Regional climate simulations using RCP8.5 show fewer Tramontane events than those using RCP4.5. |
英文关键词 | General circulation models Regional climate models Time series Model intercomparison Mistral Tramontane Future climate Bayesian network |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000422908700043 |
WOS关键词 | MEDITERRANEAN SEA ; SURFACE WINDS ; ENSEMBLE ; IMPACT ; EUROPE ; PRECIPITATION ; VARIABILITY ; EXTREMES ; EVENTS ; SPEED |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/35516 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Goethe Univ Frankfurt, Inst Atmosphare & Umwelt, Altenhoferallee 1, D-60438 Frankfurt, Germany; 2.CMCC EuroMediterranean Ctr Climate Changes, Via Augusto Imperatore 16, I-73100 Lecce, Italy; 3.Meteo France, CNRM, CNRS, UMR3589, Toulouse, France; 4.Abdus Salaam Int Ctr Theoret Phys, Str Costiera 11, I-34151 Trieste, Italy; 5.Eotvos Lorand Univ, Dept Meteorol, Budapest, Hungary; 6.HAS Postdoctoral Res Program, Budapest, Hungary |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Obermann-Hellhund, Anika,Conte, Dario,Somot, Samuel,et al. Mistral and Tramontane wind systems in climate simulations from 1950 to 2100[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2018,50:693-703. |
APA | Obermann-Hellhund, Anika,Conte, Dario,Somot, Samuel,Torma, Csaba Zsolt,&Ahrens, Bodo.(2018).Mistral and Tramontane wind systems in climate simulations from 1950 to 2100.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,50,693-703. |
MLA | Obermann-Hellhund, Anika,et al."Mistral and Tramontane wind systems in climate simulations from 1950 to 2100".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 50(2018):693-703. |
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