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DOI | 10.1007/s00382-017-3762-2 |
Simulating seasonal tropical cyclone intensities at landfall along the South China coast | |
Lok, Charlie C. F.; Chan, Johnny C. L. | |
2018-04-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATE DYNAMICS
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ISSN | 0930-7575 |
EISSN | 1432-0894 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 50页码:2661-2672 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China |
英文摘要 | A numerical method is developed using a regional climate model (RegCM3) and the Weather Forecast and Research (WRF) model to predict seasonal tropical cyclone (TC) intensities at landfall for the South China region. In designing the model system, three sensitivity tests have been performed to identify the optimal choice of the RegCM3 model domain, WRF horizontal resolution and WRF physics packages. Driven from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction Climate Forecast System Reanalysis dataset, the model system can produce a reasonable distribution of TC intensities at landfall on a seasonal scale. Analyses of the model output suggest that the strength and extent of the subtropical ridge in the East China Sea are crucial to simulating TC landfalls in the Guangdong and Hainan provinces. This study demonstrates the potential for predicting TC intensities at landfall on a seasonal basis as well as projecting future climate changes using numerical models. |
英文关键词 | Tropical cyclone landfall Tropical cyclone intensity Downscaling Regional climate model WRF East Asia |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000428600200019 |
WOS关键词 | WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC ; REGIONAL CLIMATE MODEL ; EAST-ASIA ; EL-NINO ; PARAMETERIZATION ; PREDICTIONS ; RESOLUTION ; FORECASTS ; PACKAGE ; IMPACT |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/36246 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | City Univ Hong Kong, Sch Energy & Environm, 83 Tat Chee Ave, Kowloon Tong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Lok, Charlie C. F.,Chan, Johnny C. L.. Simulating seasonal tropical cyclone intensities at landfall along the South China coast[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2018,50:2661-2672. |
APA | Lok, Charlie C. F.,&Chan, Johnny C. L..(2018).Simulating seasonal tropical cyclone intensities at landfall along the South China coast.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,50,2661-2672. |
MLA | Lok, Charlie C. F.,et al."Simulating seasonal tropical cyclone intensities at landfall along the South China coast".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 50(2018):2661-2672. |
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