GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1007/s00382-017-3578-0
Non-Gaussian spatiotemporal simulation of multisite daily precipitation: downscaling framework
Ben Alaya, M. A.1; Ouarda, T. B. M. J.2,3; Chebana, F.2
2018
发表期刊CLIMATE DYNAMICS
ISSN0930-7575
EISSN1432-0894
出版年2018
卷号50页码:1-15
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Canada; U Arab Emirates
英文摘要

Probabilistic regression approaches for downscaling daily precipitation are very useful. They provide the whole conditional distribution at each forecast step to better represent the temporal variability. The question addressed in this paper is: how to simulate spatiotemporal characteristics of multisite daily precipitation from probabilistic regression models? Recent publications point out the complexity of multisite properties of daily precipitation and highlight the need for using a non-Gaussian flexible tool. This work proposes a reasonable compromise between simplicity and flexibility avoiding model misspecification. A suitable nonparametric bootstrapping (NB) technique is adopted. A downscaling model which merges a vector generalized linear model (VGLM as a probabilistic regression tool) and the proposed bootstrapping technique is introduced to simulate realistic multisite precipitation series. The model is applied to data sets from the southern part of the province of Quebec, Canada. It is shown that the model is capable of reproducing both at-site properties and the spatial structure of daily precipitations. Results indicate the superiority of the proposed NB technique, over a multivariate autoregressive Gaussian framework (i.e. Gaussian copula).


英文关键词Statistical downscaling Vector generalized linear model Multisite daily precipitation Copula Multivariate autoregressive Gaussian field Binary entropy Non parametric bootstrapping
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000422908700001
WOS关键词DAILY RAINFALL DATA ; WEATHER GENERATOR ; MODEL ; COPULA ; TEMPERATURE ; REGRESSION ; HYDROLOGY ; FIELDS ; DISTRIBUTIONS ; UNCERTAINTY
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
被引频次:6[WOS]   [WOS记录]     [WOS相关记录]
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/36378
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Univ Victoria, Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium, Stn CSC, POB 1700, Victoria, BC V8W 2Y2, Canada;
2.ETE, INRS, 490 Rue Couronne, Quebec City, PQ G1K 9A9, Canada;
3.Masdar Inst Sci & Technol, POB 54224, Abu Dhabi, U Arab Emirates
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GB/T 7714
Ben Alaya, M. A.,Ouarda, T. B. M. J.,Chebana, F.. Non-Gaussian spatiotemporal simulation of multisite daily precipitation: downscaling framework[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2018,50:1-15.
APA Ben Alaya, M. A.,Ouarda, T. B. M. J.,&Chebana, F..(2018).Non-Gaussian spatiotemporal simulation of multisite daily precipitation: downscaling framework.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,50,1-15.
MLA Ben Alaya, M. A.,et al."Non-Gaussian spatiotemporal simulation of multisite daily precipitation: downscaling framework".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 50(2018):1-15.
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