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DOI10.1088/1748-9326/aa9e3b
Large-scale bioenergy production: how to resolve sustainability trade-offs?
Humpenoeder, Florian1; Popp, Alexander1; Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon1; Weindl, Isabelle1,3; Biewald, Anne1; Lotze-Campen, Hermann1,3; Dietrich, Jan Philipp1; Klein, David1; Kreidenweis, Ulrich1,2; Mueller, Christoph1; Rolinski, Susanne1; Stevanovic, Miodrag1
2018-02-01
发表期刊ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN1748-9326
出版年2018
卷号13期号:2
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Germany
英文摘要

Large-scale 2nd generation bioenergy deployment is a key element of 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C transformation pathways. However, large-scale bioenergy production might have negative sustainability implications and thus may conflict with the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) agenda. Here, we carry out a multi-criteria sustainability assessment of large-scale bioenergy crop production throughout the 21st century (300 EJ in 2100) using a global land-use model. Our analysis indicates that large-scale bioenergy production without complementary measures results in negative effects on the following sustainability indicators: deforestation, CO2 emissions from land-use change, nitrogen losses, unsustainable water withdrawals and food prices. One of our main findings is that single-sector environmental protection measures next to large-scale bioenergy production are prone to involve trade-offs among these sustainability indicators-at least in the absence of more efficient land or water resource use. For instance, if bioenergy production is accompanied by forest protection, deforestation and associated emissions (SDGs 13 and 15) decline substantially whereas food prices (SDG 2) increase. However, our study also shows that this trade-off strongly depends on the development of future food demand. In contrast to environmental protection measures, we find that agricultural intensification lowers some side-effects of bioenergy production substantially (SDGs 13 and 15) without generating new trade-offs-at least among the sustainability indicators considered here. Moreover, our results indicate that a combination of forest and water protection schemes, improved fertilization efficiency, and agricultural intensification would reduce the side-effects of bioenergy production most comprehensively. However, although our study includes more sustainability indicators than previous studies on bioenergy side-effects, our study represents only a small subset of all indicators relevant for the SDG agenda. Based on this, we argue that the development of policies for regulating externalities of large-scale bioenergy production should rely on broad sustainability assessments to discover potential trade-offs with the SDG agenda before implementation.


英文关键词large-scale bioenergy trade-off sustainable development goal ( SDG) land-use change environmental protection land-sparing measure global land-use modeling
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000424016400003
WOS关键词GREENHOUSE-GAS EMISSIONS ; GLOBAL FOOD DEMAND ; LAND-USE CHANGE ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; AGRICULTURAL LAND ; CO2 EMISSIONS ; WATER-USE ; MITIGATION ; ENERGY ; MODEL
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/36466
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res PIK, Potsdam, Germany;
2.Tech Univ Berlin, Econ Climate Change, Berlin, Germany;
3.Humboldt Univ, Berlin, Germany
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Humpenoeder, Florian,Popp, Alexander,Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon,et al. Large-scale bioenergy production: how to resolve sustainability trade-offs?[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2018,13(2).
APA Humpenoeder, Florian.,Popp, Alexander.,Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon.,Weindl, Isabelle.,Biewald, Anne.,...&Stevanovic, Miodrag.(2018).Large-scale bioenergy production: how to resolve sustainability trade-offs?.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,13(2).
MLA Humpenoeder, Florian,et al."Large-scale bioenergy production: how to resolve sustainability trade-offs?".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 13.2(2018).
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