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DOI | 10.1002/joc.4857 |
Climate change scenarios of convective and large-scale precipitation in the Czech Republic based on EURO-CORDEX data | |
Rulfova, Zuzana1,2; Beranova, Romana1; Kysely, Jan1,3 | |
2017-04-01 | |
发表期刊 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
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ISSN | 0899-8418 |
EISSN | 1097-0088 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 37期号:5 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Czech Republic |
英文摘要 | There is growing evidence that the hydrological cycle is affected by climate change. Many studies have dealt with evaluation of precipitation characteristics in regional climate models (RCMs) and their projected changes. However, little attention has been given to possible differences between scenarios of convective and stratiform precipitation and changes in their proportions on total amounts, although climate models simulate convective (subgrid) and stratiform (large-scale) precipitation separately through deep (precipitating) convection and large-scale precipitation parameterizations. In this study, we analyse outputs of four RCMs (CCLM, HIRHAM, RACMO2, and RCA4) from the EURO-CORDEX project. The RCM simulations for 1989-2008 driven by ERA-Interim reanalysis with two horizontal resolutions (0.44 degrees and 0.11 degrees) are evaluated against observed data in Central Europe, and projected changes of precipitation characteristics (2071-2100 vs 1971-2000) simulated by the RCMs with 0.11 degrees horizontal resolution driven by the EC-EARTH global climate model are then examined. We find that mean convective and large-scale precipitation amounts tend to increase in all seasons except summer when large-scale precipitation amounts decrease. Extreme precipitation is projected to increase in the late 21st century time slice for both convective and large-scale precipitation. The changes of precipitation characteristics are more pronounced in simulations driven by the RCP8.5 scenario, with a larger increase of temperature, and these changes are larger for precipitation with higher intensity. Increasing proportion of convective precipitation in summer and generally increasing intensity of precipitation may have important consequences, e.g. for soil erosion, replenishment of soil moisture, and occurrence of flash floods and droughts. |
英文关键词 | convective precipitation stratiform precipitation regional climate models climate change EURO-CORDEX Central Europe |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000398859700020 |
WOS关键词 | COMMUNITY-ATMOSPHERIC-MODEL ; MASS FLUX FRAMEWORK ; EXTREME PRECIPITATION ; STRATIFORM PRECIPITATION ; CHANGE PROJECTIONS ; RESOLUTION ; SIMULATIONS ; TEMPERATURE ; PERFORMANCE ; PARAMETERIZATION |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/36593 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Inst Atmospher Phys CAS, Bocni 2 1401, Prague 14131 4, Czech Republic; 2.Charles Univ Prague, Fac Math & Phys, Prague, Czech Republic; 3.Czech Univ Life Sci, Fac Environm Sci, Prague, Czech Republic |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Rulfova, Zuzana,Beranova, Romana,Kysely, Jan. Climate change scenarios of convective and large-scale precipitation in the Czech Republic based on EURO-CORDEX data[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2017,37(5). |
APA | Rulfova, Zuzana,Beranova, Romana,&Kysely, Jan.(2017).Climate change scenarios of convective and large-scale precipitation in the Czech Republic based on EURO-CORDEX data.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,37(5). |
MLA | Rulfova, Zuzana,et al."Climate change scenarios of convective and large-scale precipitation in the Czech Republic based on EURO-CORDEX data".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 37.5(2017). |
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