Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1002/joc.5519 |
A counterexample to decomposing climate shifts and trends by weather types | |
Buerger, Gerd | |
2018-07-01 | |
发表期刊 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
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ISSN | 0899-8418 |
EISSN | 1097-0088 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 38期号:9页码:3732-3735 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Germany |
英文摘要 | The literature contains a sizable number of publications where weather types are used to decompose climate shifts or trends into contributions of frequency and mean of those types. They are all based on the product rule, that is, a transformation of a product of sums into a sum of products, the latter providing the decomposition. While there is nothing to argue about the transformation itself, its interpretation as a climate shift or trend decomposition is bound to fail. While the case of a climate shift may be viewed as an incomplete description of a more complex behaviour, trend decomposition indeed produces bogus trends, as demonstrated by a synthetic counterexample with well-defined trends in type frequency and mean. Consequently, decompositions based on that transformation, be it for climate shifts or trends, must not be used. |
英文关键词 | analysis climate statistical methods |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000439794000017 |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/36809 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | Univ Potsdam, Inst Earth & Environm Sci, Potsdam, Germany |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Buerger, Gerd. A counterexample to decomposing climate shifts and trends by weather types[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2018,38(9):3732-3735. |
APA | Buerger, Gerd.(2018).A counterexample to decomposing climate shifts and trends by weather types.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,38(9),3732-3735. |
MLA | Buerger, Gerd."A counterexample to decomposing climate shifts and trends by weather types".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 38.9(2018):3732-3735. |
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