GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1002/joc.4654
The impact of observational sampling on time series of global 0-700 m ocean average temperature: a case study
Good, Simon A.
2017-04-01
发表期刊INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN0899-8418
EISSN1097-0088
出版年2017
卷号37期号:5
文章类型Article;Proceedings Paper
语种英语
国家England
英文摘要

The limited historical observational sampling of the ocean gives rise to uncertainty in time series of global ocean temperature anomalies calculated from those observations. Without knowledge of the true global state of the oceans, it is difficult to characterize the errors caused by these sampling issues. One way to quantify them is to use climate model data. Pseudo observational time series can be constructed from the model data using knowledge of where observations occurred. Comparison of these with time series constructed from the full model fields yields information about how observational sampling impacts time series of the temperature change in the modelled world. This can then be related back to the time series generated from the real observations. In this study, climate model data were used to investigate sampling errors in 0-700 m global average ocean temperature anomaly time series calculated using a straightforward gridding approach. The sampling had two impacts. First, sampling causes issues with constructing a climatology that is representative of the long-term average state of the ocean. Climatology errors were shown to have the potential to cause systematically changing errors in anomaly time series. Second, some regions of the ocean were poorly observed prior to improvements brought about by the Argo project. This was found to cause spurious variability, both year to year and over multi-year time scales. The latter had similar magnitude to the actual multi-year variability seen in the model data but was smaller than the model's long-term temperature change. The features of these errors depend on the ocean state and therefore varied between climate model runs. More sophisticated methods used to calculate ocean temperature time series are expected to be less impacted by sampling. Nevertheless, sampling errors will still occur and therefore this type of study is recommended even for those techniques.


英文关键词ocean temperature ocean heat content observations uncertainty sampling time series
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E ; ISTP
WOS记录号WOS:000398859700005
WOS关键词CMIP5
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/36904
专题气候变化
作者单位Met Off Hadley Ctr, FitzRoy Rd, Exeter EX1 3PB, Devon, England
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GB/T 7714
Good, Simon A.. The impact of observational sampling on time series of global 0-700 m ocean average temperature: a case study[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2017,37(5).
APA Good, Simon A..(2017).The impact of observational sampling on time series of global 0-700 m ocean average temperature: a case study.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,37(5).
MLA Good, Simon A.."The impact of observational sampling on time series of global 0-700 m ocean average temperature: a case study".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 37.5(2017).
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