GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1002/joc.5108
Sensitivity of AGCM-simulated regional JJAS precipitation to different convective parameterization schemes
Ehsan, Muhammad Azhar1; 39;Brien2
2017-11-15
发表期刊INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN0899-8418
EISSN1097-0088
出版年2017
卷号37期号:13
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Saudi Arabia; USA; Italy
英文摘要

This study examines the effects of convective parameterization schemes (CPSs) on the simulated June-September (JJAS) precipitation climatology, variability and predictability over southwestern Arabian Peninsula and northeast Africa during 1981-2014 within an atmospheric global climate model framework. The three CPSs used are: the simplified Arakawa-Schubert (SAS) scheme; the SAS scheme with Tokioka modification (STOK) and the Emanuel (EMAN) scheme coupled with a probability distribution function-based cloud parameterization scheme. SAS and STOK overestimate JJAS total precipitation over the selected domain compared to observations, while EMAN underestimates. EMAN provides the most realistic distribution of precipitation and spatial distribution of convective precipitation despite the tendency for underestimating the total precipitation. The principal patterns of precipitation variability (as measured by the leading empirical orthogonal functions) in EMAN and STOK are clearly related to the observed pattern, while the maximum variability in SAS occurs in a completely different location. The El Nino Southern Oscillation-related JJAS precipitation teleconnection simulated by the SAS scheme is very weak as compared to observations and other two CPSs. The signal-to-noise ratio estimated by SAS and STOK is very low as compared to EMAN. Correlation analysis shows that EMAN performs better than the other two CPSs. Low (high) outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) values are indicative of enhanced (suppressed) convection and hence more (less) cloud coverage. The root mean square error estimated for OLR in EMAN is lower than that of the other two CPSs. The vertical structure of specific humidity and temperature shows less error in EMAN than that of the other two CPSs, which could be a reason for better predictability over the region of interest.


英文关键词Arabian Peninsula SAUDI-KAU AGCM SAS Tokioka modification Emanuel TRMM
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000414329800009
WOS关键词GENERAL-CIRCULATION MODEL ; CUMULUS CONVECTION ; INTRASEASONAL OSCILLATION ; BOREAL SUMMER ; PREDICTION ; ENSEMBLE ; PREDICTABILITY ; SYSTEM ; GCM ; PERFORMANCE
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/37016
专题气候变化
作者单位1.King Abdulaziz Univ, CECCR, Dept Meteorol, POB 80208, Jeddah 21589, Saudi Arabia;
2.Columbia Univ, Dept Appl Phys & Appl Math, New York, NY USA;
3.Abdus Salaam Int Ctr Theoret Phys, Earth Syst Phys Sect, Trieste, Italy
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GB/T 7714
Ehsan, Muhammad Azhar,39;Brien. Sensitivity of AGCM-simulated regional JJAS precipitation to different convective parameterization schemes[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2017,37(13).
APA Ehsan, Muhammad Azhar,&39;Brien.(2017).Sensitivity of AGCM-simulated regional JJAS precipitation to different convective parameterization schemes.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,37(13).
MLA Ehsan, Muhammad Azhar,et al."Sensitivity of AGCM-simulated regional JJAS precipitation to different convective parameterization schemes".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 37.13(2017).
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