GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1002/joc.4954
On the impact of gaps on trend detection in extreme streamflow time series
Slater, Louise; Villarini, Gabriele
2017-08-01
发表期刊INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN0899-8418
EISSN1097-0088
出版年2017
卷号37期号:10
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
英文摘要

Streamflow time series often contain gaps of varying length and location. However, the influence of these gaps on trend detection is poorly understood and cannot be estimated a priori in trend detection studies. We simulated the effects of varying gap size (1, 2, 5, and 10years) and location (one quarter, one third, and half of the way) on the detection rate of significant monotonic trends in annual maxima and peaks-over-threshold, based on the most commonly-used trend tests in time series of varying length (from 15 to 150years) and trend magnitude ((1)). Results show that, in comparison with the complete time series, the loss in trend detection rate tends to grow with (1) increasing gap size, (2) increasing gap distance from the middle of the time series, (3) decreasing (1) slope, and (4) decreasing time series length. Based on these findings, we provide objective recommendations and cautionary remarks for maximal gap allowance in trend detection in extreme streamflow time series.


英文关键词gaps trend detection annual maximum peak-over-threshold time series analysis
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000406706200018
WOS关键词RIVER FLOW ; ABRUPT CHANGES ; FREQUENCY ; RECORDS ; PRECIPITATION ; STATIONARITY ; UNCERTAINTY ; MODELS ; FUTURE
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/37397
专题气候变化
作者单位Univ Iowa, IIHR Hydrosci & Engn, Iowa City, IA 52242 USA
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Slater, Louise,Villarini, Gabriele. On the impact of gaps on trend detection in extreme streamflow time series[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2017,37(10).
APA Slater, Louise,&Villarini, Gabriele.(2017).On the impact of gaps on trend detection in extreme streamflow time series.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,37(10).
MLA Slater, Louise,et al."On the impact of gaps on trend detection in extreme streamflow time series".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 37.10(2017).
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