GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1002/joc.5537
High-resolution projections of evapotranspiration and water availability for Europe under climate change
Dezsi, Stefan1; Mindrescu, Marcel2; Petrea, Danut1; Rai, Praveen Kumar3; Hamann, Andreas4; Nistor, Margarit-Mircea5,6
2018-08-01
发表期刊INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN0899-8418
EISSN1097-0088
出版年2018
卷号38期号:10页码:3832-3841
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Romania; India; Canada; Singapore
英文摘要

Evapotranspiration plays an essential role in estimating water balance, runoff and effective precipitation. To determine historical and projected water availability for Europe, we contribute high-resolution (1 km) estimates of monthly and annual potential evapotranspiration (ET0) and actual evapotranspiration (AET0). In the ET0 calculation, the monthly and annual heat index I and annual parameter were estimated following the Thornthwaite method, and AET0 was calculated using the Budyko approach. The variables were estimated for a climate normal period that largely precedes an anthropogenic warming signal (1961-1990), and for two CMIP5 multi-model future projections (2011-2040 and 2041-2070). We project widespread and relatively uniform ET0 increases of around 50-100mm by the 2020s and 75-125mm by the 2050s for most of Europe. These values imply important changes that may affect runoff and groundwater recharge. AET0 was identified as important driver of water availability with more regional variability. Spatial mapping of changes relative to the normal baseline imply that all except northern parts of Europe are vulnerable to water deficits, with pronounced decrease expected in southern Europe. We provide high-resolution maps and data as an important tool for future natural resources management and climate change mitigation planning.


英文关键词actual evapotranspiration climate change Europe high spatial resolution models potential evapotranspiration water availability
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000440826000006
WOS关键词GROUNDWATER RESOURCES ; BASIN ; CLASSIFICATION ; IMPACTS ; TRENDS ; IMAGES ; MODEL ; GIS
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/37694
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Univ Babes Bolyai, Fac Geog, Cluj Napoca, Romania;
2.Univ Suceava, Dept Geog, Suceava, Romania;
3.Banaras Hindu Univ, Inst Sci, Dept Geog, Varanasi, Uttar Pradesh, India;
4.Univ Alberta, Dept Renewable Resources, Edmonton, AB, Canada;
5.Earthres Co, Dept Hydrogeol, Cluj Napoca, Romania;
6.Nanyang Technol Univ, Sch Civil & Environm Engn, Singapore, Singapore
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GB/T 7714
Dezsi, Stefan,Mindrescu, Marcel,Petrea, Danut,et al. High-resolution projections of evapotranspiration and water availability for Europe under climate change[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2018,38(10):3832-3841.
APA Dezsi, Stefan,Mindrescu, Marcel,Petrea, Danut,Rai, Praveen Kumar,Hamann, Andreas,&Nistor, Margarit-Mircea.(2018).High-resolution projections of evapotranspiration and water availability for Europe under climate change.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,38(10),3832-3841.
MLA Dezsi, Stefan,et al."High-resolution projections of evapotranspiration and water availability for Europe under climate change".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 38.10(2018):3832-3841.
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