Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1002/joc.5537 |
High-resolution projections of evapotranspiration and water availability for Europe under climate change | |
Dezsi, Stefan1; Mindrescu, Marcel2; Petrea, Danut1; Rai, Praveen Kumar3; Hamann, Andreas4; Nistor, Margarit-Mircea5,6 | |
2018-08-01 | |
发表期刊 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
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ISSN | 0899-8418 |
EISSN | 1097-0088 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 38期号:10页码:3832-3841 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Romania; India; Canada; Singapore |
英文摘要 | Evapotranspiration plays an essential role in estimating water balance, runoff and effective precipitation. To determine historical and projected water availability for Europe, we contribute high-resolution (1 km) estimates of monthly and annual potential evapotranspiration (ET0) and actual evapotranspiration (AET0). In the ET0 calculation, the monthly and annual heat index I and annual parameter were estimated following the Thornthwaite method, and AET0 was calculated using the Budyko approach. The variables were estimated for a climate normal period that largely precedes an anthropogenic warming signal (1961-1990), and for two CMIP5 multi-model future projections (2011-2040 and 2041-2070). We project widespread and relatively uniform ET0 increases of around 50-100mm by the 2020s and 75-125mm by the 2050s for most of Europe. These values imply important changes that may affect runoff and groundwater recharge. AET0 was identified as important driver of water availability with more regional variability. Spatial mapping of changes relative to the normal baseline imply that all except northern parts of Europe are vulnerable to water deficits, with pronounced decrease expected in southern Europe. We provide high-resolution maps and data as an important tool for future natural resources management and climate change mitigation planning. |
英文关键词 | actual evapotranspiration climate change Europe high spatial resolution models potential evapotranspiration water availability |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000440826000006 |
WOS关键词 | GROUNDWATER RESOURCES ; BASIN ; CLASSIFICATION ; IMPACTS ; TRENDS ; IMAGES ; MODEL ; GIS |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/37694 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Babes Bolyai, Fac Geog, Cluj Napoca, Romania; 2.Univ Suceava, Dept Geog, Suceava, Romania; 3.Banaras Hindu Univ, Inst Sci, Dept Geog, Varanasi, Uttar Pradesh, India; 4.Univ Alberta, Dept Renewable Resources, Edmonton, AB, Canada; 5.Earthres Co, Dept Hydrogeol, Cluj Napoca, Romania; 6.Nanyang Technol Univ, Sch Civil & Environm Engn, Singapore, Singapore |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Dezsi, Stefan,Mindrescu, Marcel,Petrea, Danut,et al. High-resolution projections of evapotranspiration and water availability for Europe under climate change[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2018,38(10):3832-3841. |
APA | Dezsi, Stefan,Mindrescu, Marcel,Petrea, Danut,Rai, Praveen Kumar,Hamann, Andreas,&Nistor, Margarit-Mircea.(2018).High-resolution projections of evapotranspiration and water availability for Europe under climate change.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,38(10),3832-3841. |
MLA | Dezsi, Stefan,et al."High-resolution projections of evapotranspiration and water availability for Europe under climate change".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 38.10(2018):3832-3841. |
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