GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.10.008
Using simulations to forecast homeowner response to sea level rise in South Florida: Will they stay or will they go?
Treuer, Galen1,3; Broad, Kenneth1; Meyer, Robert2
2018
发表期刊GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
ISSN0959-3780
EISSN1872-9495
出版年2018
卷号48页码:108-118
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
英文摘要

Sea level rise threatens coastal communities around the world. Proactive investments in adaptive flood protection could reduce financial vulnerability, however it is unclear if local governments and homeowners will be willing to make those investments before it is too late. In this research we explore this issue by focusing on the case of South Florida, which is one of the most financially vulnerable regions in the world. We report the results of a novel online simulation that accelerates 348 South Florida homeowners thirty-five years into the future so that they can 'live' the effects of sea level rise. The results contain a mix of optimism and caution for the prospects of future adaptation. On the positive side, over 75% of participants indicated a willingness to support bond issues to pay for adaptation, even as the costs of the measures and effects of sea level rise increased over the years. Likewise, we find little evidence that politically conservative residents who normally have more skeptical views about climate change are any less inclined to support adaptation, or only look to information sources that downplay the threat. On the negative side, the number of homeowners interested in moving out of the region increases steadily over time as the sea level rises. This is driven by an increase in worry associated with viewing more information within the simulation.


英文关键词Sea level rise Simulation Perception Adaptation Homeowners South Florida
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000429399000011
WOS关键词CLIMATE-CHANGE ; UNITED-STATES ; 21ST-CENTURY ; CONSERVATION ; ADAPTATION ; PERCEPTION ; SCIENCE ; CITIES
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Geography
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geography
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/37841
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Univ Miami, Coral Gables, FL 33124 USA;
2.Univ Penn, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA;
3.Univ Miami, Leonard & Jayne Abess Ctr Ecosyst Sci & Policy, POB 248203, Coral Gables, FL 33124 USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Treuer, Galen,Broad, Kenneth,Meyer, Robert. Using simulations to forecast homeowner response to sea level rise in South Florida: Will they stay or will they go?[J]. GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS,2018,48:108-118.
APA Treuer, Galen,Broad, Kenneth,&Meyer, Robert.(2018).Using simulations to forecast homeowner response to sea level rise in South Florida: Will they stay or will they go?.GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS,48,108-118.
MLA Treuer, Galen,et al."Using simulations to forecast homeowner response to sea level rise in South Florida: Will they stay or will they go?".GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS 48(2018):108-118.
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
查看访问统计
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Treuer, Galen]的文章
[Broad, Kenneth]的文章
[Meyer, Robert]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Treuer, Galen]的文章
[Broad, Kenneth]的文章
[Meyer, Robert]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Treuer, Galen]的文章
[Broad, Kenneth]的文章
[Meyer, Robert]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。