Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.10.008 |
Using simulations to forecast homeowner response to sea level rise in South Florida: Will they stay or will they go? | |
Treuer, Galen1,3; Broad, Kenneth1; Meyer, Robert2 | |
2018 | |
发表期刊 | GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
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ISSN | 0959-3780 |
EISSN | 1872-9495 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 48页码:108-118 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | Sea level rise threatens coastal communities around the world. Proactive investments in adaptive flood protection could reduce financial vulnerability, however it is unclear if local governments and homeowners will be willing to make those investments before it is too late. In this research we explore this issue by focusing on the case of South Florida, which is one of the most financially vulnerable regions in the world. We report the results of a novel online simulation that accelerates 348 South Florida homeowners thirty-five years into the future so that they can 'live' the effects of sea level rise. The results contain a mix of optimism and caution for the prospects of future adaptation. On the positive side, over 75% of participants indicated a willingness to support bond issues to pay for adaptation, even as the costs of the measures and effects of sea level rise increased over the years. Likewise, we find little evidence that politically conservative residents who normally have more skeptical views about climate change are any less inclined to support adaptation, or only look to information sources that downplay the threat. On the negative side, the number of homeowners interested in moving out of the region increases steadily over time as the sea level rises. This is driven by an increase in worry associated with viewing more information within the simulation. |
英文关键词 | Sea level rise Simulation Perception Adaptation Homeowners South Florida |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000429399000011 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; UNITED-STATES ; 21ST-CENTURY ; CONSERVATION ; ADAPTATION ; PERCEPTION ; SCIENCE ; CITIES |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Geography |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geography |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/37841 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Miami, Coral Gables, FL 33124 USA; 2.Univ Penn, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA; 3.Univ Miami, Leonard & Jayne Abess Ctr Ecosyst Sci & Policy, POB 248203, Coral Gables, FL 33124 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Treuer, Galen,Broad, Kenneth,Meyer, Robert. Using simulations to forecast homeowner response to sea level rise in South Florida: Will they stay or will they go?[J]. GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS,2018,48:108-118. |
APA | Treuer, Galen,Broad, Kenneth,&Meyer, Robert.(2018).Using simulations to forecast homeowner response to sea level rise in South Florida: Will they stay or will they go?.GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS,48,108-118. |
MLA | Treuer, Galen,et al."Using simulations to forecast homeowner response to sea level rise in South Florida: Will they stay or will they go?".GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS 48(2018):108-118. |
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