Countering Others' Insurgencies: Understanding U.S. Small-Footprint Interventions in Local Context

doi:10.7249/RR513

GSTDTAP > 资源环境科学

DOI	10.7249/RR513
报告编号	RR-513-SRF
	Countering Others' Insurgencies: Understanding U.S. Small-Footprint Interventions in Local Context
	Stephen Watts; Jason H. Campbell; Patrick B. Johnston; Sameer Lalwani; Sarah H. Bana
	2014
出版年	2014
页数	250
语种	英语
国家	美国
出版者	RAND Corporation
领域	资源环境
英文摘要	This study examines the counterinsurgency strategies and practices adopted by threatened regimes and the conditions under which U.S. "small-footprint" partnerships are likely to help these governments succeed. The report's findings are derived from a mixed-method research design incorporating both quantitative and qualitative analysis. Simple statistical analyses are applied to a dataset of counterinsurgencies that have terminated since the end of the Cold War (72 in all), and more in-depth analyses are provided of two recent cases of U.S. partnerships with counterinsurgent regimes, in the Philippines and Pakistan. The quantitative analysis finds that the cases of small-footprint U.S. operations that are commonly touted as "success stories" all occurred in countries approximating a best-case scenario. Such a verdict is not meant to deny the importance of U.S. assistance; rather, it is meant to highlight that similar U.S. policies with less promising partner nations should not be expected to produce anywhere near the same levels of success. The majority of insurgencies have taken place in worst-case conditions, and in these environments, counterinsurgent regimes are typically unsuccessful in their efforts to end rebellion, and they often employ violence indiscriminately. The case studies of the Philippines and Pakistan largely reinforce the findings of the quantitative analysis. They also highlight the challenges the United States faces in attempting to influence partner regimes to fight counterinsurgencies in the manner that the United States would prefer. The study concludes with policy recommendations for managing troubled partnerships.
英文关键词	Peacekeeping and Stability Operations Global Security Philippines Pakistan Military Strategy
URL	查看原文
来源平台	Rand Corporation
引用统计
文献类型	科技报告
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/3789
专题	资源环境科学
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Stephen Watts,Jason H. Campbell,Patrick B. Johnston,et al. Countering Others' Insurgencies: Understanding U.S. Small-Footprint Interventions in Local Context:RAND Corporation,2014.