Assessment of the Politico-Military Campaign to Counter ISIL and Options for Adaptation

doi:10.7249/RR1290

GSTDTAP > 资源环境科学

DOI	10.7249/RR1290
报告编号	RR-1290-OSD
	Assessment of the Politico-Military Campaign to Counter ISIL and Options for Adaptation
	Linda Robinson
	2016
出版年	2016
页数	92
语种	英语
国家	美国
出版者	RAND Corporation
领域	资源环境
英文摘要	This report assesses the campaign against the Islamic State (ISIL), focusing on the military and political lines of effort. The capabilities and motivations of the various counter-ISIL forces on the battlefield are assessed, as well as the U.S.-led efforts to provide training, equipment, advice, and assistance, including air support. While the campaign has degraded ISIL by targeting leadership and retaking a portion of territory, achieving lasting defeat of ISIL will be elusive without local forces capable of holding territory. Successful conclusion of the campaign will require significantly increased effort on two fronts. First, more-comprehensive training, advising, and assisting will be required to create more-capable, coordinated indigenous forces of appropriate composition and enable them to regain and hold territory. Second, political agreements must be forged to resolve key drivers of conflict among Iraqis and Syrians. Without these elements, resurgent extremist violence is likely. Many factors complicate the prospects for success, including sectarian divisions in Iraq, Iranian support for Shia militias in Iraq and Syria, the Syrian civil war, and Russian intervention to support the besieged regime of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. However, the Syrian regime also lacks sufficient competent local forces and is heavily reliant on external militia support. The government in Iraq, led by Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi, has pledged decentralization efforts to address Sunni concerns, but lacks sufficient Shia support to enact them. This report offers recommendations for a more comprehensive advisory approach, emphasizing the political line of effort, and achieving synergy between the military and political efforts.
英文关键词	Syria Counterterrorism Security Cooperation The Islamic State (Terrorist Organization) Politics and Government Iraq Iran
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来源平台	Rand Corporation
引用统计
文献类型	科技报告
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/4321
专题	资源环境科学
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Linda Robinson. Assessment of the Politico-Military Campaign to Counter ISIL and Options for Adaptation:RAND Corporation,2016.