Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.2172/1136784 |
报告编号 | DOE-UCSD-0004940-Final |
来源ID | OSTI ID: 1136784 |
An Interactive Multi-Model for Consensus on Climate Change | |
Kocarev, Ljupco | |
2014-07-02 | |
出版年 | 2014 |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | 美国 |
领域 | 地球科学 |
英文摘要 | This project purports to develop a new scheme for forming consensus among alternative climate models, that give widely divergent projections as to the details of climate change, that is more intelligent than simply averaging the model outputs, or averaging with ex post facto weighting factors. The method under development effectively allows models to assimilate data from one another in run time with weights that are chosen in an adaptive training phase using 20th century data, so that the models synchronize with one another as well as with reality. An alternate approach that is being explored in parallel is the automated combination of equations from different models in an expert-system-like framework. |
英文关键词 | weather/climate models weather predictions climate projections ensemble modeling imperfect models |
URL | 查看原文 |
来源平台 | US Department of Energy (DOE) |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 科技报告 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/6426 |
专题 | 地球科学 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kocarev, Ljupco. An Interactive Multi-Model for Consensus on Climate Change,2014. |
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