An Interactive Multi-Model for Consensus on Climate Change

GSTDTAP > 地球科学

DOI	10.2172/1136784
报告编号	DOE-UCSD-0004940-Final
来源ID	OSTI ID: 1136784
	An Interactive Multi-Model for Consensus on Climate Change
	Kocarev, Ljupco
	2014-07-02
出版年	2014
语种	英语
国家	美国
领域	地球科学
英文摘要	This project purports to develop a new scheme for forming consensus among alternative climate models, that give widely divergent projections as to the details of climate change, that is more intelligent than simply averaging the model outputs, or averaging with ex post facto weighting factors. The method under development effectively allows models to assimilate data from one another in run time with weights that are chosen in an adaptive training phase using 20th century data, so that the models synchronize with one another as well as with reality. An alternate approach that is being explored in parallel is the automated combination of equations from different models in an expert-system-like framework.
英文关键词	weather/climate models weather predictions climate projections ensemble modeling imperfect models
URL	查看原文
来源平台	US Department of Energy (DOE)
引用统计
文献类型	科技报告
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/6426
专题	地球科学
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Kocarev, Ljupco. An Interactive Multi-Model for Consensus on Climate Change,2014.