Application of global weather and climate model output to the design and operation of wind-energy systems

doi:10.2172/1182264

GSTDTAP > 地球科学

DOI	10.2172/1182264
报告编号	Final Report: DOE-CFAN--0007554
来源ID	OSTI ID: 1182264
	Application of global weather and climate model output to the design and operation of wind-energy systems
	Curry, Judith
	2015-05-21
出版年	2015
页数	47
语种	英语
国家	美国
领域	地球科学
英文摘要	This project addressed the challenge of providing weather and climate information to support the operation, management and planning for wind-energy systems. The need for forecast information is extending to longer projection windows with increasing penetration of wind power into the grid and also with diminishing reserve margins to meet peak loads during significant weather events. Maintenance planning and natural gas trading is being influenced increasingly by anticipation of wind generation on timescales of weeks to months. Future scenarios on decadal time scales are needed to support assessment of wind farm siting, government planning, long-term wind purchase agreements and the regulatory environment. The challenge of making wind forecasts on these longer time scales is associated with a wide range of uncertainties in general circulation and regional climate models that make them unsuitable for direct use in the design and planning of wind-energy systems. To address this challenge, CFAN has developed a hybrid statistical/dynamical forecasting scheme for delivering probabilistic forecasts on time scales from one day to seven months using what is arguably the best forecasting system in the world (European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting, ECMWF). The project also provided a framework to assess future wind power through developing scenarios of interannual to decadal climate variability and change. The Phase II research has successfully developed an operational wind power forecasting system for the U.S., which is being extended to Europe and possibly Asia.
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来源平台	US Department of Energy (DOE)
引用统计
文献类型	科技报告
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/6800
专题	地球科学
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Curry, Judith. Application of global weather and climate model output to the design and operation of wind-energy systems,2015.