Plausible policy pathways to Paris

GSTDTAP

项目编号	NE/P015093/1
	Plausible policy pathways to Paris
	[unavailable]
主持机构	Open University
项目开始年	2016
	2016-10-31
项目结束日期	2017-10-30
资助机构	UK-NERC
项目类别	Research Grant
国家	英国
语种	英语
英文摘要	The Paris agreement commits nations to pursuing efforts to limit the global temperature rise to 1.5 degrees. This represents a level of transformation of the socio-economic and energy systems that substantially exceeds the scenarios that have been found using conventional integrated assessment models (IAMs). Such models generally ignore economic disequilibrium effects such as unemployment, which could become important under conditions of radical economic transformation, and neglect key dynamic processes that control the rate of uptake of new technologies. Rapid reductions in greenhouse gas emissions also potentially violate the simple scaling assumptions used to derive environmental impacts in IAMs because of the slow response of some parts of the climate system such as the ocean, as compared to the land. We plan to develop a set of more realistic dynamic pathways to reach the 1.5 degree target using a new, fully dynamic IAM that does not rely on equilibrium or pattern scaling assumptions. The assessment will identify policy options and the degree of negative emissions required and will quantify the resulting spatial patterns of climate change and the associated uncertainty resulting from incomplete knowledge of climate, carbon-cycle and socio-economic parameters.
来源学科分类	Natural Environment Research
文献类型	项目
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/86379
专题	环境与发展全球科技态势
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	[unavailable].Plausible policy pathways to Paris.2016.