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Impact of Satellite Observations on Forecasting Sudden Stratospheric Warmings 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (5)
作者:  Noguchi, S.;  Kuroda, Y.;  Mukougawa, H.;  Mizuta, R.;  Kobayashi, C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
Reply to "Comments on 'What Is the Predictability Limit of Midlatitude Weather?'" 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2020, 77 (2) : 787-793
作者:  Sun, Y. Qiang;  Zhang, Fuqing;  Magnusson, Linus;  Buizza, Roberto;  Chen, Jan-Huey;  Emanuel, Kerry
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
Error analysis  Forecasting  Numerical weather prediction  forecasting  Operational forecasting  Ensembles  Model errors  
Assessing North American multimodel ensemble (NMME) seasonal forecast skill to assist in the early warning of anomalous hydrometeorological events over East Africa 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7411-7427
作者:  Shukla, Shraddhanand;  Roberts, Jason;  Hoell, Andrew;  Funk, Christopher C.;  Robertson, Franklin;  Kirtman, Ben
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
A dynamical statistical framework for seasonal streamflow forecasting in an agricultural watershed 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7429-7445
作者:  Slater, Louise J.;  Villarini, Gabriele;  Bradley, A. Allen;  Vecchi, Gabriel A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Seasonal forecasting  Probabilistic forecast  Streamflow forecasts  North-American Multi Model ensemble (NMME)  
The relationship among probabilistic, deterministic and potential skills in predicting the ENSO for the past 161 years 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (11) : 6947-6960
作者:  Liu, Ting;  Tang, Youmin;  Yang, Dejian;  Cheng, Yanjie;  Song, Xunshu;  Hou, Zhaolu;  Shen, Zheqi;  Gao, Yanqiu;  Wu, Yanling;  Li, Xiaojing;  Zhang, Banglin
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
ENSO ensemble forecast  Predictability  Nonlinear monotonic relationship  
Calibration and combination of monthly near-surface temperature and precipitation predictions over Europe 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7305-7320
作者:  Rodrigues, Luis R. L.;  Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.;  Coelho, Caio A. S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Climate prediction  Multimodel ensemble  Forecast quality assessment  Forecast assimilation  
Deterministic Skill of Subseasonal Precipitation Forecasts for the East Africa-West Asia Sector from September to May 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (22) : 11887-11896
作者:  Vigaud, N.;  Tippett, M. K.;  Robertson, A. W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：11/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
S2S rainfall forecasts show statistically significant skill in the East Africa-West Asia sector out to Week 4  Forecast skill of dynamical models exceeds that of statistical models based on ENSO and the MJO  Tropical-temperate interactions may represent a new source of S2S predictability  
Probabilistic Forecast of Single-Phase Flow in Porous Media With Uncertain Properties 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019
作者:  Yang, Hyung Jun;  Boso, Francesca;  Tchelepi, Hamdi A.;  Tartakovsky, Daniel M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
uncertainty quantification  groundwater flow  random conductivity  method of distributions  risk assessment  rare events  
Seasonal Hydropower Planning for Data-Scarce Regions Using Multimodel Ensemble Forecasts, Remote Sensing Data, and Stochastic Programming 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019
作者:  Koppa, Akash;  Gebremichael, Mekonnen;  Zambon, Renato C.;  Yeh, William W-G;  Hopson, Thomas M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/16
hydropower planning  ensemble forecasting  remote sensing  data-scarce regions  taxonomy  taxonomy numbers  
Improving Arctic sea ice seasonal outlook by ensemble prediction using an ice-ocean model 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 227: 14-23
作者:  Yang, Qinghua;  Mu, Longjiang;  Wu, Xingren;  Liu, Jiping;  Zheng, Fei;  Zhang, Jinlun;  Li, Chuanjin
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Seasonal sea ice prediction  Ensemble forecast  Sea ice thickness  Data assimilation