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Dynamic projection of anthropogenic emissions in China: methodology and 2015-2050 emission pathways under a range of socio-economic, climate policy, and pollution control scenarios 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2020, 20 (9) : 5729-5757
作者:  Tong, Dan;  Cheng, Jing;  Liu, Yang;  Yu, Sha;  Yan, Liu;  Hong, Chaopeng;  Qin, Yu;  Zhao, Hongyan;  Zheng, Yixuan;  Geng, Guannan;  Li, Meng;  Liu, Fei;  Zhang, Yuxuan;  Zheng, Bo;  Clarke, Leon;  Zhang, Qiang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:24/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
Dynamic projection of anthropogenic emissions in China: methodology and 2015-2050 emission pathways under a range of socio-economic, climate policy, and pollution control scenarios 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2020, 20 (9) : 5729-5757
作者:  Tong, Dan;  Cheng, Jing;  Liu, Yang;  Yu, Sha;  Yan, Liu;  Hong, Chaopeng;  Qin, Yu;  Zhao, Hongyan;  Zheng, Yixuan;  Geng, Guannan;  Li, Meng;  Liu, Fei;  Zhang, Yuxuan;  Zheng, Bo;  Clarke, Leon;  Zhang, Qiang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:20/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/20
African climate response to orbital and glacial forcing in 140,000-y simulation with implications for early modern human environments 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (5) : 2255-2264
作者:  Kutzbach, John E.;  Guan, Jian;  He, Feng;  Cohen, Andrew S.;  Orland, Ian J.;  Chen, Guangshan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:16/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
paleoclimate  Africa  climate modeling  glacial and orbital forcing  human dispersal  
Oceanic forcing of penultimate deglacial and last interglacial sea-level rise 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7792) : 660-+
作者:  Rizal, Yan;  Westaway, Kira E.;  Zaim, Yahdi;  van den Bergh, Gerrit D.;  Bettis, E. Arthur, III;  Morwood, Michael J.;  Huffman, O. Frank;  Grun, Rainer;  Joannes-Boyau, Renaud;  Bailey, Richard M.;  Sidarto;  Westaway, Michael C.;  Kurniawan, Iwan;  Moore, Mark W.;  Storey, Michael;  Aziz, Fachroel;  Suminto;  Zhao, Jian-xin;  Aswan;  Sipola, Maija E.;  Larick, Roy;  Zonneveld, John-Paul;  Scott, Robert;  Putt, Shelby;  Ciochon, Russell L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:21/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

Sea-level histories during the two most recent deglacial-interglacial intervals show substantial differences(1-3) despite both periods undergoing similar changes in global mean temperature(4,5) and forcing from greenhouse gases(6). Although the last interglaciation (LIG) experienced stronger boreal summer insolation forcing than the present interglaciation(7), understanding why LIG global mean sea level may have been six to nine metres higher than today has proven particularly challenging(2). Extensive areas of polar ice sheets were grounded below sea level during both glacial and interglacial periods, with grounding lines and fringing ice shelves extending onto continental shelves(8). This suggests that oceanic forcing by subsurface warming may also have contributed to ice-sheet loss(9-12) analogous to ongoing changes in the Antarctic(13,14) and Greenland(15) ice sheets. Such forcing would have been especially effective during glacial periods, when the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) experienced large variations on millennial timescales(16), with a reduction of the AMOC causing subsurface warming throughout much of the Atlantic basin(9,12,17). Here we show that greater subsurface warming induced by the longer period of reduced AMOC during the penultimate deglaciation can explain the more-rapid sea-level rise compared with the last deglaciation. This greater forcing also contributed to excess loss from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets during the LIG, causing global mean sea level to rise at least four metres above modern levels. When accounting for the combined influences of penultimate and LIG deglaciation on glacial isostatic adjustment, this excess loss of polar ice during the LIG can explain much of the relative sea level recorded by fossil coral reefs and speleothems at intermediate- and far-field sites.


  
Early climate models successfully predicted global warming 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 578 (7793) : 45-46
作者:  Bertolucci, Sergio;  Mulargia, Francesco;  Giardini, Domenico
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

An evaluation of past climate-model forecasts.


Climate models published between 1970 and 2007 provided accurate forecasts of subsequently observed global surface warming. This finding shows the value of using global observations to vet climate models as the planet warms.


  
Comment on "Revised paleoaltimetry data show low Tibetan Plateau elevation during the Eocene" 期刊论文
SCIENCE, 2019, 365 (6459)
作者:  Valdes, Paul J.;  Lin, Ding;  Farnsworth, Alex;  Spicer, Robert A.;  Li, Shi-Hu;  Tao, Su
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Assessment of the urban heat island in the city of Tehran using reliability methods 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 225: 144-156
作者:  Jahangir, Mohammad Sina;  Moghim, Sanaz
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Urban Heat Island  Reliability framework  WRF-ARW  Downscaling methods  Bayesian regression  
Land cover and its transformation in the backward trajectory footprint region of the Amazon Tall Tower Observatory 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2019, 19 (13) : 8425-8470
作者:  Poehlker, Christopher;  Walter, David;  Paulsen, Hauke;  Koenemann, Tobias;  Rodriguez-Caballero, Emilio;  Moran-Zuloaga, Daniel;  Brito, Joel;  Carbone, Samara;  Degrendele, Celine;  Despres, Viviane R.;  Ditas, Florian;  Holanda, Bruna A.;  Kaiser, Johannes W.;  Lammel, Gerhard;  Lavric, Jost V.;  Ming, Jing;  Pickersgill, Daniel;  Poehlker, Mira L.;  Prass, Maria;  Loebs, Nina;  Saturno, Jorge;  Soergel, Matthias;  Wang, Qiaoqiao;  Weber, Bettina;  Wolff, Stefan;  Artaxo, Paulo;  Poeschl, Ulrich;  Andreae, Meinrat O.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Economic carbon cycle feedbacks may offset additional warming from natural feedbacks 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2019, 116 (3) : 759-764
作者:  Woodard, Dawn L.;  Davis, Steven J.;  Randerson, James T.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
carbon cycle feedbacks  climate change  economic damages  integrated assessment models  fossil fuels  
Rapidly declining remarkability of temperature anomalies may obscure public perception of climate change 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2019, 116 (11) : 4905-4910
作者:  Moore, Frances C.;  Obradovich, Nick;  Lehner, Flavio;  Baylis, Patrick
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
climate change  perception  Twitter  baseline  temperature