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Quantifying uncertainty in European climate projections using combined performance-independence weighting 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (12)
作者:  Brunner, Lukas;  Lorenz, Ruth;  Zumwald, Marius;  Knutti, Reto
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
model weighting  climate models  CMIP5  Europe  EUCP  temperature  precipitation  
The realized warming fraction: a multi-model sensitivity study 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (12)
作者:  Pfister, Patrik L.;  Stocker, Thomas F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate models  ensemble simulations  realized warming fraction  equilibrium climate sensitivity  physical equilibration  energy balance  ocean heat uptake  
Anthropogenic influence on the drivers of the Western Cape drought 2015-2017 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (12)
作者:  Otto, Friederike E. L.;  Wolski, Piotr;  Lehner, Flavio;  Tebaldi, Claudia;  van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan;  Hogesteeger, Sanne;  Singh, Roop;  Holden, Petra;  Fuckar, Neven S.;  Odoulami, Romaric C.;  New, Mark
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
extreme event attribution  drought  climate change  
Projected squeezing of the wintertime North-Atlantic jet 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (7)
作者:  Peings, Yannick;  Cattiaux, Julien;  Vavrus, Stephen J.;  Magnusdottir, Gudrun
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
mid-latitude dynamics  Arctic-mid-latitude linkage  polar amplification  upper-troposphere tropical warming  cold extremes  RCP8.5 projections  CMIP5  
Evaluating the accuracy of climate change pattern emulation for low warming targets 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (5)
作者:  Tebaldi, Claudia;  Knutti, Reto
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
BRACE1.5  Paris agreement  benefits of mitigation  pattern scaling  low-warming scenarios  climate model emulation