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A Mechanism for the Arctic Sea Ice Spring Predictability Barrier 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (13)
作者:  Bushuk, Mitchell;  Winton, Michael;  Bonan, David B.;  Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Edward;  Delworth, Thomas L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/16
regional Arctic sea ice  seasonal predictability  mass budget  large ensembles  
What Caused the Extreme Indian Ocean Dipole Event in 2019? 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (11)
作者:  Lu, Bo;  Ren, Hong-Li
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/25
Indian Ocean Dipole  cause  prediction  
Potential for Early Forecast of Moroccan Wheat Yields Based on Climatic Drivers 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (12)
作者:  Lehmann, J.;  Kretschmer, M.;  Schauberger, B.;  Wechsung, F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:17/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/20
causal discovery algorithms  teleconnections  seasonal forecast  machine learning  wheat forecast  climate precursors  
Advances in the Lead Time of Sahel Rainfall Prediction With the North American Multimodel Ensemble 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (9)
作者:  Giannini, A.;  Ali, A.;  Kelley, C. P.;  Lamptey, B. L.;  Minoungou, B.;  Ndiaye, O.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
seasonal climate prediction  Sahel  PRESA-SS  precipitation  El Nino-Southern Oscillation  climate services  
Will Coral Reefs in the North Atlantic Ocean Bleach During the Next Season? A Probabilistic Answer 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (9)
作者:  Lisboa, D. S.;  Kikuchi, R. K. P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Coral bleaching seasonal forecast  Bayesian Network  SST anomaly  El Nino  Early warning system  Environmental management support  
Evolution of the North American Multi-Model Ensemble 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (9)
作者:  Becker, Emily;  Kirtman, Ben P.;  Pegion, Kathy
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Relating CMIP5 Model Biases to Seasonal Forecast Skill in the Tropical Pacific 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (5)
作者:  Ding, Hui;  Newman, Matthew;  Alexander, Michael A.;  Wittenberg, Andrew T.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Understanding the Signal-to-Noise Paradox with a Simple Markov Model 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (22) : 13308-13317
作者:  Zhang, Wei;  Kirtman, Ben
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Signal-to-noise paradox  Climate prediction  Markov model  CMIP5 models  Ensemble forecast  
Skilful Real-Time Seasonal Forecasts of the Dry Northern European Summer 2018 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Dunstone, Nick;  Smith, Doug;  Hardiman, Steven;  Eade, Rosie;  Gordon, Margaret;  Hermanson, Leon;  Kay, Gillian;  Scaife, Adam
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
seasonal prediction  European  rainfall  summer  North Atlantic  
Improved Predictability of the Indian Ocean Dipole Using Seasonally Modulated ENSO Forcing Forecasts 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (16) : 9980-9990
作者:  Zhao, Sen;  Jin, Fei-Fei;  Stuecker, Malte F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:3/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27