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Skilful seasonal prediction of winter wind speeds in China 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 3937-3955
作者:  Lockwood, Julia F.;  Thornton, Hazel E.;  Dunstone, Nick;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Bett, Philip E.;  Li, Chaofan;  Ren, Hong-Li
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal forecasting  Forecast verification/skill  Wind  Asia  
Re-emergence of North Atlantic subsurface ocean temperature anomalies in a seasonal forecast system 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 4799-4820
作者:  Grist, Jeremy P.;  Sinha, Bablu;  Hewitt, Helene. T.;  Duchez, Aurelie;  MacLachlan, Craig;  Hyder, Patrick;  Josey, Simon A.;  Hirschi, Joel J. -M.;  Blaker, Adam T.;  New, Adrian. L.;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Roberts, Chris D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal forecasting  Climate model  Re-emergence  
Skill of dynamical and GHACOF consensus seasonal forecasts of East African rainfall 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 4911-4935
作者:  Walker, Dean P.;  Birch, Cathryn E.;  Marsham, John H.;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Graham, Richard J.;  Segele, Zewdu T.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal climate forecasts  Consensus outlooks  East Africa  Precipitation  Probabilistic verification  
Skill of Indian summer monsoon rainfall prediction in multiple seasonal prediction systems 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 5291-5301
作者:  Jain, Shipra;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Mitra, Ashis K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Climate Historical Forecasts Project (CHFP)  Seasonal prediction  Indian monsoon  ENSO-monsoon teleconnection  Seasonal hindcasts  
Seasonal predictability of winter ENSO types in operational dynamical model predictions 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 3869-3890
作者:  Ren, Hong-Li;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Dunstone, Nick;  Tian, Ben;  Liu, Ying;  Ineson, Sarah;  Lee, June-Yi;  Smith, Doug;  Liu, Changzheng;  Thompson, Vikki;  Vellinga, Michael;  MacLachlan, Craig
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Two types of winter ENSO events  Predictability  Dynamical model  Evaluation  
Tropical rainfall predictions from multiple seasonal forecast systems 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (2) : 974-988
作者:  Scaife, Adam A.;  Ferranti, Laura;  Alves, Oscar;  Athanasiadis, Panos;  Baehr, Johanna;  Deque, Michel;  Dippe, Tina;  Dunstone, Nick;  Fereday, David;  Gudgel, Richard G.;  Greatbatch, Richard J.;  Hermanson, Leon;  Imada, Yukiko;  Jain, Shipra;  Kumar, Arun;  MacLachlan, Craig;  Merryfield, William;  Mueller, Wolfgang A.;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Smith, Doug;  Takaya, Yuhei;  Vecchi, Gabriel;  Yang, Xiaosong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
ensemble  ENSO  NAO  PNA  seasona prediction  tropical rainfall  
Impact of soil moisture initialization on boreal summer subseasonal forecasts: mid-latitude surface air temperature and heat wave events 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 1695-1709
作者:  Seo, Eunkyo;  Lee, Myong-In;  Jeong, Jee-Hoon;  Koster, Randal D.;  Schubert, Siegfried D.;  Kim, Hye-Mi;  Kim, Daehyun;  Kang, Hyun-Suk;  Kim, Hyun-Kyung;  MacLachlan, Craig;  Scaife, Adam A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
California Winter Precipitation Predictability: Insights From the Anomalous 2015-2016 and 2016-2017 Seasons 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (18) : 9972-9980
作者:  Singh, Deepti;  Ting, Mingfang;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Martin, Nicola
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
California seasonal forecasts  midlatitude circulations  Arctic Oscillation  GloSea5  
An extreme negative Indian Ocean Dipole event in 2016: dynamics and predictability 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 89-100
作者:  Lu, Bo;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Wu, Jie;  Dunstone, Nick;  Smith, Doug;  Wan, Jianghua;  Eade, Rosie;  MacLachlan, Craig;  Gordon, Margaret
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Indian Ocean Dipole  Air-sea interaction  East African drought  Seasonal prediction  
The asymmetric response of Yangtze river basin summer rainfall to El Nino/La Nina 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (2)
作者:  Hardiman, Steven C.;  Dunstone, Nick J.;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Bett, Philip E.;  Li, Chaofan;  Lu, Bo;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Smith, Doug M.;  Stephan, Claudia C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
seasonal forecasting  Yangtze basin rainfall  ENSO  asymmetric rainfall response  Indian Ocean