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Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Recommended temperature metrics for carbon budget estimates, model evaluation and climate policy 期刊论文
NATURE GEOSCIENCE, 2019, 12 (12) : 964-+
作者:  Tokarska, Katarzyna B.;  Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich;  Rogelj, Joeri;  Stolpe, Martin B.;  Matthews, H. Damon;  Pfleiderer, Peter;  Gillett, Nathan P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/16
Mid-latitude freshwater availability reduced by projected vegetation responses to climate change 期刊论文
NATURE GEOSCIENCE, 2019, 12 (12) : 983-+
作者:  Mankin, Justin S.;  Seager, Richard;  Smerdon, Jason E.;  Cook, Benjamin I.;  Williams, A. Park
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/16
Twofold expansion of the Indo-Pacific warm pool warps the MJO life cycle 期刊论文
Nature, 2019, 575: 647-651
作者:  M. K. Roxy;  Panini Dasgupta;  Michael J. McPhaden;  Tamaki Suematsu;  Chidong Zhang;  Daehyun Kim
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16
Plasticity and climatic sensitivity of wood anatomy contribute to performance of eastern Baltic provenances of Scots pine 期刊论文
FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT, 2019, 452
作者:  Matisons, Roberts;  Krisans, Oskars;  Karklina, Annija;  Adamovics, Andis;  Jansons, Aris;  Gaertner, Holger
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Common garden  Pines sylvestris  Seed transfer  Dendrodimatology  Baltic Sea region  Tracheid parameters  Hemiboreal zone  
Increased high-latitude photosynthetic carbon gain offset by respiration carbon loss during an anomalous warm winter to spring transition 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Liu, Zhihua;  Kimball, John S.;  Parazoo, Nicholas C.;  Ballantyne, Ashley P.;  Wang, Wen J.;  Madani, Nima;  Pan, Caleb G.;  Watts, Jennifer D.;  Reichle, Rolf H.;  Sonnentag, Oliver;  Marsh, Philip;  Hurkuck, Miriam;  Helbig, Manuel;  Quinton, William L.;  Zona, Donatella;  Ueyama, Masahito;  Kobayashi, Hideki;  Euskirchen, Eugenie S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
ABoVE  boreal  carbon cycle  climate change  productivity  respiration  SMAP L4C  soil moisture  tundra  
Northern Hemisphere Atmospheric Stilling Accelerates Lake Thermal Responses to a Warming World 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Woolway, R. Iestyn;  Merchant, Christopher J.;  Van Den Hoek, Jamon;  Azorin-Molina, Cesar;  Noges, Peeter;  Laas, Alo;  Mackay, Eleanor B.;  Jones, Ian D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
lake  climate  wind  
Radiative Forcing and Health Impact of Aerosols and Ozone in China as the Consequence of Clean Air Actions over 2012-2017 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Dang, Ruijun;  Liao, Hong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:0/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Uncertainty in the Evolution of Climate Feedback Traced to the Strength of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Lin, Yuan-Jen;  Hwang, Yen-Ting;  Ceppi, Paulo;  Gregory, Jonathan M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
climate sensitivity  climate feedback  Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation  
Probabilistic assessment and projections of US weather and climate risks and economic damages 期刊论文
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2019
作者:  Franzke, Christian L. E.;  Czupryna, Marcin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Weather extremes  Climate extremes  Mortality  Non-stationarity  Generalized Pareto distribution