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Long-term cyclic persistence in an experimental predator-prey system 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7789) : 226-+
作者:  Blasius, Bernd;  Rudolf, Lars;  Weithoff, Guntram;  Gaedke, Ursula;  Fussmann, Gregor F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

Predator-prey cycles rank among the most fundamental concepts in ecology, are predicted by the simplest ecological models and enable, theoretically, the indefinite persistence of predator and prey(1-4). However, it remains an open question for how long cyclic dynamics can be self-sustained in real communities. Field observations have been restricted to a few cycle periods(5-8) and experimental studies indicate that oscillations may be short-lived without external stabilizing factors(9-19). Here we performed microcosm experiments with a planktonic predator-prey system and repeatedly observed oscillatory time series of unprecedented length that persisted for up to around 50 cycles or approximately 300 predator generations. The dominant type of dynamics was characterized by regular, coherent oscillations with a nearly constant predator-prey phase difference. Despite constant experimental conditions, we also observed shorter episodes of irregular, non-coherent oscillations without any significant phase relationship. However, the predator-prey system showed a strong tendency to return to the dominant dynamical regime with a defined phase relationship. A mathematical model suggests that stochasticity is probably responsible for the reversible shift from coherent to non-coherent oscillations, a notion that was supported by experiments with external forcing by pulsed nutrient supply. Our findings empirically demonstrate the potential for infinite persistence of predator and prey populations in a cyclic dynamic regime that shows resilience in the presence of stochastic events.


  
Spatiotemporal Profiling of Tropical Cyclones Genesis and Favorable Environmental Conditions in the Western Pacific Basin 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Lu, Mengqian;  Xiong, Rui
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Tropical Cyclones  Western PacificWithin-Basin Spatiotemporal Variations  Wavelet &Coherence Analysis  ENSO  
Characterization of inertia gravity waves and associated dynamics in the lower stratosphere over the Indian Antarctic station, Bharati (69.4 degrees S, 76.2 degrees E) during austral summers 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 2887-2903
作者:  Koushik, N.;  Kumar, Karanam Kishore;  Subrahmanyam, K., V;  Ramkumar, Geetha;  Girach, I. A.;  Santosh, M.;  Nalini, K.;  Nazeer, M.;  Shreedevi, P. R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Middle atmosphere dynamics  Inertia gravity waves  Lower stratosphere  Wavelet analysis  
Potential impacts of Arctic warming on Northern Hemisphere mid-latitude aerosol optical depth 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 1637-1651
作者:  Chen, Yuyang;  Zhao, Chuanfeng;  Ming, Yi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Spatio-temporal variability  Aerosol optical depth  Near surface air temperature  Arctic  Mid-latitude  Teleconnection  
Timescales of the Climate Record in the South Polar Ice Cap of Mars 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (13) : 7268-7277
作者:  Becerra, Patricio;  Sori, Michael M.;  Thomas, Nicolas;  Pommerol, Antoine;  Simioni, Emanuele;  Sutton, Sarah S.;  Tulyakov, Stepan;  Cremonese, Gabriele
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Improving the North American multi-model ensemble (NMME) precipitation forecasts at local areas using wavelet and machine learning 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 601-615
作者:  Xu, Lei;  Chen, Nengcheng;  Zhang, Xiang;  Chen, Zeqiang;  Hu, Chuli;  Wang, Chao
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
NMME  Precipitation forecast  Bias correction  Wavelet  Machine learning  
Climatic variations within the dry valleys in southwestern China and the influences of artificial reservoirs 期刊论文
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2019, 155 (1) : 111-125
作者:  Sun, Lian;  Cai, Yanpeng;  Yang, Wei;  Yi, Yujun;  Yang, Zhifeng
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Shrinkage of East Asia Winter Monsoon Associated With Increased ENSO Events Since the Mid-Holocene 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (7) : 3839-3848
作者:  Wu, J.;  Liu, Q.;  Cui, Q. Y.;  Xu, D. K.;  Wang, L.;  Shen, C. M.;  Chu, G. Q.;  Liu, J. Q.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Regional scale analysis of trends in rainfall using nonparametric methods and wavelet transforms over a semi-arid region in India 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (5) : 2737-2764
作者:  Pal, Lalit;  Ojha, Chandra Shekhar P.;  Chandniha, Surendra K.;  Kumar, Amit
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Chhattisgarh state  discrete wavelet transform  modified Mann-Kendall test  rainfall  trend analysis  
Variation of reference evapotranspiration and its teleconnection with multiple large-scale climate oscillations in the Yangtze River Delta, China 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (5) : 2630-2645
作者:  Xu, Yu;  Wu, Yanfei;  Xu, Gang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
change patterns  correlation  large-scale climate oscillations  reference evapotranspiration  time lag  Yangtze River Delta