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Impact of the Mesoscale Range on Error Growth and the Limits to Atmospheric Predictability 期刊论文
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2020
作者:  Leung, Tsz Yan;  Leutbecher, Martin;  Reich, Sebastian;  Shepherd, Theodore G.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2020/10/26
A New Theoretical Framework for Understanding Multiscale Atmospheric Predictability 期刊论文
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2020
作者:  Sun, Y. Qiang;  Zhang, Fuqing
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/09
Enhanced Northern Hemisphere Correlation Skill of Subseasonal Predictions in the Strong Negative Phase of the Arctic Oscillation 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2020, 125 (10)
作者:  Minami, Atsushi;  Takaya, Yuhei
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
AO  subseasonal predictability  eddy-zonal flow interaction  
GEOS-S2S Version 2: The GMAO High-Resolution Coupled Model and Assimilation System for Seasonal Prediction 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2020, 125 (5)
作者:  Molod, Andrea;  Hackert, Eric;  Vikhliaev, Yury;  Zhao, Bin;  Barahona, Donifan;  Vernieres, Guillaume;  Borovikov, Anna;  Kovach, Robin M.;  Marshak, Jelena;  Schubert, Siegfried;  Li, Zhao;  Lim, Young-Kwon;  Andrews, Lauren C.;  Cullather, Richard;  Koster, Randal;  Achuthavarier, Deepthi;  Carton, James;  Coy, Lawrence;  Friere, Julliana L. M.;  Longo, Karla M.;  Nakada, Kazumi;  Pawson, Steven
收藏  |  浏览/下载：14/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
Atmosphere-Ocean Modeling  Atmosphere-Ocean Data Assimilation  Seasonal and Subseasonal Prediction  
A Priori Identification of Skillful Extratropical Subseasonal Forecasts 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Albers, John R.;  Newman, Matthew
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Linear inverse model  Predictability  Subseasonal  
A new mathematical framework for atmospheric blocking events 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019
作者:  Lucarini, Valerio;  Gritsun, Andrey
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Atmospheric blockings  Unstable periodic orbits  Covariant Lyapunov vectors  Lyapunov exponents  Predictability  Numerical modelling  
An evaluation of East Asian summer monsoon forecast with the North American Multimodel Ensemble hindcast data 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (12) : 4838-4852
作者:  Nie, Huiwen;  Guo, Yan
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
East Asian summer monsoon  forecast error  North American Multimodel Ensemble  precipitation  predictability error  
Improving the prediction skill for China summer rainfall through correcting leading modes in Beijing Climate Center's Climate System Model 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (11) : 4329-4339
作者:  Wang, Xiaojuan;  Liu, Li;  Hu, Po;  Gong, Zhiqiang;  Feng, Guolin
收藏  |  浏览/下载：11/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
error correction  leading mode  statistic-dynamic prediction  summer rainfall prediction  
Multi-model seasonal forecasts for the wind energy sector 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 2715-2729
作者:  Lee, Doo Young;  Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.;  Torralba, Veronica;  Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Seasonal prediction systems  Statistical post-processing  Multi-model ensemble  10 m wind speed  Forecast verification  
Changing Seasonal Predictability of Arctic Summer Sea Ice Area in a Warming Climate 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (16) : 4963-4979
作者:  Holland, Marika M.;  Landrum, Laura;  Bailey, David;  Vavrus, Steve
收藏  |  浏览/下载：11/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Arctic  Climate change  Seasonal forecasting