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Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 degrees C 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (21) : 11895-11903
作者:  Smith, D. M.;  Scaife, A. A.;  Hawkins, E.;  Bilbao, R.;  Boer, G. J.;  Caian, M.;  Caron, L. -P.;  Danabasoglu, G.;  Delworth, T.;  Doblas-Reyes, F. J.;  Doescher, R.;  Dunstone, N. J.;  Eade, R.;  Hermanson, L.;  Ishii, M.;  Kharin, V.;  Kimoto, M.;  Koenigk, T.;  Kushnir, Y.;  Matei, D.;  Meehl, G. A.;  Menegoz, M.;  Merryfield, W. J.;  Mochizuki, T.;  Mueller, W. A.;  Pohlmann, H.;  Power, S.;  Rixen, M.;  Sospedra-Alfonso, R.;  Tuma, M.;  Wyser, K.;  Yang, X.;  Yeager, S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：11/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Intraseasonal Effects of El Nino-Southern Oscillation on North Atlantic Climate 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2018, 31 (21) : 8861-8873
作者:  Ayarzaguena, Blanca;  Ineson, Sarah;  Dunstone, Nick J.;  Baldwin, Mark P.;  Scaife, Adam A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：4/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
California Winter Precipitation Predictability: Insights From the Anomalous 2015-2016 and 2016-2017 Seasons 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (18) : 9972-9980
作者:  Singh, Deepti;  Ting, Mingfang;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Martin, Nicola
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
California seasonal forecasts  midlatitude circulations  Arctic Oscillation  GloSea5  
An Intercomparison of Skill and Overconfidence/Underconfidence of the Wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation in Multimodel Seasonal Forecasts 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (15) : 7808-7817
作者:  Baker, L. H.;  Shaffrey, L. C.;  Sutton, R. T.;  Weisheimer, A.;  Scaife, A. A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：1/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
North Atlantic Oscillation  Europe  seasonal forecasting  predictability  
Different types of drifts in two seasonal forecast systems and their dependence on ENSO 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51 (4) : 1411-1426
作者:  Hermanson, L.;  Ren, H. -L.;  Vellinga, M.;  Dunstone, N. D.;  Hyder, P.;  Ineson, S.;  Scaife, A. A.;  Smith, D. M.;  Thompson, V.;  Tian, B.;  Williams, K. D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
General circulation model  Bias  Drift  Seasonal prediction  ENSO  
An extreme negative Indian Ocean Dipole event in 2016: dynamics and predictability 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 89-100
作者:  Lu, Bo;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Wu, Jie;  Dunstone, Nick;  Smith, Doug;  Wan, Jianghua;  Eade, Rosie;  MacLachlan, Craig;  Gordon, Margaret
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Indian Ocean Dipole  Air-sea interaction  East African drought  Seasonal prediction  
Atmospheric response to Arctic and Antarctic sea ice: The importance of ocean-atmosphere coupling and the background state (vol 30, pg 4547, 2017) 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2018, 31 (12) : 4963-4964
作者:  Smith, Doug M.;  Dunstone, Nick J.;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Fiedler, Emma K.;  Copsey, Dan;  Hardiman, Steven C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Improved seasonal prediction of UK regional precipitation using atmospheric circulation 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2018, 38: E437-E453
作者:  Baker, L. H.;  Shaffrey, L. C.;  Scaife, A. A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：0/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
precipitation  atmospheric circulation  seasonal forecasting  downscaling  
The asymmetric response of Yangtze river basin summer rainfall to El Nino/La Nina 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (2)
作者:  Hardiman, Steven C.;  Dunstone, Nick J.;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Bett, Philip E.;  Li, Chaofan;  Lu, Bo;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Smith, Doug M.;  Stephan, Claudia C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
seasonal forecasting  Yangtze basin rainfall  ENSO  asymmetric rainfall response  Indian Ocean  
Atmospheric Dynamics is the Largest Source of Uncertainty in Future Winter European Rainfall 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2018, 31 (3) : 963-977
作者:  Fereday, David;  Chadwick, Robin;  Knight, Jeff;  Scaife, Adam A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09