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Predicting spatial and temporal variability in crop yields: an inter-comparison of machine learning, regression and process-based models 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (4)
作者:  Leng, Guoyong;  Hall, Jim W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
climate change  crop yield  machine learning  statistical model  crop model  
Asynchronous carbon sink saturation in African and Amazonian tropical forests 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7797) : 80-+
作者:  Wannes Hubau;  Simon L. Lewis;  Oliver L. Phillips;  Kofi Affum-Baffoe;  Hans Beeckman;  Aida Cuní;  -Sanchez;  Armandu K. Daniels;  Corneille E. N. Ewango;  Sophie Fauset;  Jacques M. Mukinzi;  Douglas Sheil;  Bonaventure Sonké;  Martin J. P. Sullivan;  Terry C. H. Sunderland;  Hermann Taedoumg;  Sean C. Thomas;  Lee J. T. White;  Katharine A. Abernethy;  Stephen Adu-Bredu;  Christian A. Amani;  Timothy R. Baker;  Lindsay F. Banin;  Fidè;  le Baya;  Serge K. Begne;  Amy C. Bennett;  Fabrice Benedet;  Robert Bitariho;  Yannick E. Bocko;  Pascal Boeckx;  Patrick Boundja;  Roel J. W. Brienen;  Terry Brncic;  Eric Chezeaux;  George B. Chuyong;  Connie J. Clark;  Murray Collins;  James A. Comiskey;  David A. Coomes;  Greta C. Dargie;  Thales de Haulleville;  Marie Noel Djuikouo Kamdem;  Jean-Louis Doucet;  Adriane Esquivel-Muelbert;  Ted R. Feldpausch;  Alusine Fofanah;  Ernest G. Foli;  Martin Gilpin;  Emanuel Gloor;  Christelle Gonmadje;  Sylvie Gourlet-Fleury;  Jefferson S. Hall;  Alan C. Hamilton;  David J. Harris;  Terese B. Hart;  Mireille B. N. Hockemba;  Annette Hladik;  Suspense A. Ifo;  Kathryn J. Jeffery;  Tommaso Jucker;  Emmanuel Kasongo Yakusu;  Elizabeth Kearsley;  David Kenfack;  Alexander Koch;  Miguel E. Leal;  Aurora Levesley;  Jeremy A. Lindsell;  Janvier Lisingo;  Gabriela Lopez-Gonzalez;  Jon C. Lovett;  Jean-Remy Makana;  Yadvinder Malhi;  Andrew R. Marshall;  Jim Martin;  Emanuel H. Martin;  Faustin M. Mbayu;  Vincent P. Medjibe;  Vianet Mihindou;  Edward T. A. Mitchard;  Sam Moore;  Pantaleo K. T. Munishi;  Natacha Nssi Bengone;  Lucas Ojo;  Fidè;  le Evouna Ondo;  Kelvin S.-H. Peh;  Georgia C. Pickavance;  Axel Dalberg Poulsen;  John R. Poulsen;  Lan Qie;  Jan Reitsma;  Francesco Rovero;  Michael D. Swaine;  Joey Talbot;  James Taplin;  David M. Taylor;  Duncan W. Thomas;  Benjamin Toirambe;  John Tshibamba Mukendi;  Darlington Tuagben;  Peter M. Umunay;  Geertje M. F. van der Heijden;  Hans Verbeeck;  Jason Vleminckx;  Simon Willcock;  Hannsjö;  rg Wö;  ll;  John T. Woods;  Lise Zemagho
收藏  |  浏览/下载:23/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

Structurally intact tropical forests sequestered about half of the global terrestrial carbon uptake over the 1990s and early 2000s, removing about 15 per cent of anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions(1-3). Climate-driven vegetation models typically predict that this tropical forest '  carbon sink'  will continue for decades(4,5). Here we assess trends in the carbon sink using 244 structurally intact African tropical forests spanning 11 countries, compare them with 321 published plots from Amazonia and investigate the underlying drivers of the trends. The carbon sink in live aboveground biomass in intact African tropical forests has been stable for the three decades to 2015, at 0.66 tonnes of carbon per hectare per year (95 per cent confidence interval 0.53-0.79), in contrast to the long-term decline in Amazonian forests(6). Therefore the carbon sink responses of Earth'  s two largest expanses of tropical forest have diverged. The difference is largely driven by carbon losses from tree mortality, with no detectable multi-decadal trend in Africa and a long-term increase in Amazonia. Both continents show increasing tree growth, consistent with the expected net effect of rising atmospheric carbon dioxide and air temperature(7-9). Despite the past stability of the African carbon sink, our most intensively monitored plots suggest a post-2010 increase in carbon losses, delayed compared to Amazonia, indicating asynchronous carbon sink saturation on the two continents. A statistical model including carbon dioxide, temperature, drought and forest dynamics accounts for the observed trends and indicates a long-term future decline in the African sink, whereas the Amazonian sink continues to weaken rapidly. Overall, the uptake of carbon into Earth'  s intact tropical forests peaked in the 1990s. Given that the global terrestrial carbon sink is increasing in size, independent observations indicating greater recent carbon uptake into the Northern Hemisphere landmass(10) reinforce our conclusion that the intact tropical forest carbon sink has already peaked. This saturation and ongoing decline of the tropical forest carbon sink has consequences for policies intended to stabilize Earth'  s climate.


  
Water Stress and Productivity: An Empirical Analysis of Trends and Drivers 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2020, 56 (3)
作者:  Doeffinger, Tess;  Hall, Jim W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Pollution exacerbates China's water scarcity and its regional inequality 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Ma, Ting;  Sun, Siao;  Fu, Guangtao;  Hall, Jim W.;  Ni, Yong;  He, Lihuan;  Yi, Jiawei;  Zhao, Na;  Du, Yunyan;  Pei, Tao;  Cheng, Weiming;  Song, Ci;  Fang, Chuanglin;  Zhou, Chenghu
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
Assessment of Risks to Public Water Supply From Low Flows and Harmful Water Quality in a Changing Climate 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (12) : 10386-10404
作者:  Mortazavi-Naeini, Mohammad;  Bussi, Gianbattista;  Elliott, J. Alex;  Hall, Jim W.;  Whitehead, Paul G.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/16
Water supply  Reliability  water quality  land-use  climate change  
Delivering on the Sustainable Development Goals through long-term infrastructure planning 期刊论文
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS, 2019, 59
作者:  Adshead, Daniel;  Thacker, Scott;  Fuldauer, Lena I.;  Hall, Jim W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Sustainable infrastructure  Performance indicators  SDGs  Infrastructure services  Strategic planning  Interdependencies  
Alternatives to genetic affinity as a context for within-species response to climate 期刊论文
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2019, 9 (10) : 787-+
作者:  Smith, Adam B.;  Beever, Erik A.;  Kessler, Aimee E.;  Johnston, Aaron N.;  Ray, Chris;  Epps, Clinton W.;  Lanier, Hayley C.;  Klinger, Rob C.;  Rodhouse, Thomas J.;  Varner, Johanna;  Perrine, John D.;  Seglund, Amy;  Hall, L. Embere;  Galbreath, Kurt;  MacGlover, Chris;  Billman, Peter;  Blatz, Gretchen;  Brewer, Jason;  Vardaro, Jessica Castillo;  Chalfoun, Anna D.;  Collins, Gail;  Craighead, April;  Curlis, Chris;  Daly, Christopher;  Doak, Daniel F.;  East, Mitch;  Edwards, Mark;  Erb, Liesl;  Ernest, Kristina A.;  Fauver, Brian;  Foresman, Kerry R.;  Goehring, Ken;  Hagar, Joan;  Hayes, Charles L.;  Henry, Philippe;  Hersey, Kimberly;  Hilty, Shannon L.;  Jacobson, Jim;  Jeffress, Mackenzie R.;  Manning, Tom;  Masching, Amy;  Maxell, Bryce;  McCollough, Rayo;  McFarland, Corrie;  Miskow, Eric;  Morelli, Toni Lyn;  Moyer-Horner, Lucas;  Mueller, Megan;  Nugent, Martin;  Pratt, Beth;  Rasmussen-Flores, Mary;  Rickman, Tom H.;  Robison, Hillary;  Rodriguez, Arthur;  Rowe, Karen;  Rowe, Kevin;  Russello, Michael A.;  Saab, Vicki;  Schmidt, Angie;  Stewart, Joseph A. E.;  Stuart, James N.;  Svancara, Leona K.;  Thompson, Will;  Timmins, Julie;  Treinish, Gregg;  Waterhouse, Matthew D.;  Westover, Marie L.;  Wilkening, Jennifer;  Yandow, Leah
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Socio-Hydrology in Perspective-Circa 2018 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (3) : 1776-1777
作者:  Hall, Jim W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Exploring Cooperative Transboundary River Management Strategies for the Eastern Nile Basin 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2018, 54 (11) : 9224-9254
作者:  Wheeler, Kevin G.;  Hall, Jim W.;  Abdo, Gamal M.;  Dadson, Simon J.;  Kasprzyk, Joseph R.;  Smith, Rebecca;  Zagona, Edith A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
modeling  Nile  Renaissance Dam  negotiation  policy  cooperation  
Drivers of water use in China's electric power sector from 2000 to 2015 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (9)
作者:  Liao, Xiawei;  Hall, Jim W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
electric power  index decomposition analysis  water-for-electricity nexus  historical analysis