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Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Assessing the climate change impact on the North African offshore surface wind and coastal low-level jet using coupled and uncoupled regional climate simulations 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52 (11) : 7111-7132
作者:  Soares, Pedro M. M.;  Lima, Daniela C. A.;  Semedo, Alvaro;  Cardoso, Rita M.;  Cabos, William;  Sein, Dmitry V.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:16/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Regional climate modelling  Coastal low-level wind jet  Africa  CORDEX  REMO-OASIS-MPIOM  Global warming  
Projected sea level rise, gyre circulation and water mass formation in the western North Pacific: CMIP5 inter-model analysis 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 50: 4767-4782
作者:  Terada, Mio;  Minobe, Shoshiro
收藏  |  浏览/下载:3/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Dynamic sea level  CMIP5 climate models  Western North Pacific  Kuroshio Extension  Subtropical mode water  Global warming  
Consequences of 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C global warming levels for temperature and precipitation changes over Central Africa 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (5)
作者:  Mba, Wilfried Pokam;  Longandjo, Georges-Noel T.;  Moufouma-Okia, Wilfran;  Bell, Jean-Pierre;  James, Rachel;  Vondou, Derbetini A.;  Haensler, Andreas;  Fotso-Nguemo, Thierry C.;  Guenang, Guy Merlin;  Tchotchou, Angennes Lucie Djiotang;  Kamsu-Tamo, Pierre H.;  Takong, Ridick R.;  Nikulin, Grigory;  Lennard, Christopher J.;  Dosio, Alessandro
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
CORDEX  Central Africa  global warming level  representative concentration pathways  extremes  precipitation  temperature  
Risks for the global freshwater system at 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C global warming 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (4)
作者:  Doell, Petra;  Trautmann, Tim;  Gerten, Dieter;  Schmied, HannesMueller;  Ostberg, Sebastian;  Saaed, Fahad;  Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate change  global water resources  global warming level  hazard  risk