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Model forecast error correction based on the Local Dynamical Analog method: an example application to the ENSO forecast by an Intermediate Coupled Model 期刊论文
Geophysical Research Letters, 2020
作者:  Zhaolu Hou;  Bin Zuo;  Shaoqing Zhang;  Fei Huang;  Ruiqiang Ding;  Wansuo Duan;  Jianping Li
收藏  |  浏览/下载:25/0  |  提交时间:2020/09/22
Season-dependent predictability barrier for two types of El Nino revealed by an approach to data analysis for predictability 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 5561-5581
作者:  Hou, Meiyi;  Duan, Wansuo;  Zhi, Xiefei
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Season-dependent predictability and error growth dynamics for La Nina predictions 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 1063-1076
作者:  Hu, Junya;  Duan, Wansuo;  Zhou, Qian
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
La Nina events  Spring predictability barrier  Initial errors  
Towards optimal observational array for dealing with challenges of El Nino-Southern Oscillation predictions due to diversities of El Nino 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 3351-3368
作者:  Duan, Wansuo;  Li, Xuquan;  Tian, Ben
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Asymmetry of the Predictability Limit of the Warm ENSO Phase 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (15) : 7646-7653
作者:  Hou, Zhaolu;  Li, Jianping;  Ding, Ruiqiang;  Karamperidou, Christina;  Duan, Wansuo;  Liu, Ting;  Feng, Jie
收藏  |  浏览/下载:18/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
El Nino  warm ENSO phase  predictability limit  asymmetry  
The application of nonlinear local Lyapunov vectors to the Zebiak-Cane model and their performance in ensemble prediction 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 283-304
作者:  Hou, Zhaolu;  Li, Jianping;  Ding, Ruiqiang;  Feng, Jie;  Duan, Wansuo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Estimating observing locations for advancing beyond the winter predictability barrier of Indian Ocean dipole event predictions 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 48
作者:  Feng, Rong;  Duan, Wansuo;  Mu, Mu
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Indian Ocean dipole  Sensitive areas  Winter predictability barrier  Initial errors  
厄尔尼诺-南方涛动可预报性的非线性误差增长理论及其应用研究 项目
项目编号:41525017; 经费:3500000(CNY); 起止日期:2016 / dc_date_end
项目负责人:  段晚锁
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27