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How does ENSO diversity limit the skill of tropical Pacific precipitation forecasts in dynamical seasonal predictions? 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 5815-5831
作者:  Sohn, Soo-Jin;  Tam, Chi-Yung;  Kug, Jong-Seong
收藏  |  浏览/下载：16/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
ENSO diversity  ENSO prediction  SST forecast  Tropical Pacific precipitation forecast  Dynamical seasonal prediction  Multimodal ensemble  
Direct and indirect seasonal rainfall forecasts for East Africa using global dynamical models 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Colman, Andrew W.;  Graham, Richard J.;  Davey, Michael K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：13/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
canonical correlation analysis  dynamical long-range forecast systems  Greater Horn of Africa  seasonal rainfall prediction  
Dynamical prediction of Indian monsoon: Past and present skill 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (8) : 3574-3581
作者:  Kohn-Reich, Lisei;  Buerger, Gerd
收藏  |  浏览/下载：12/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
correlation skill  dynamical seasonal prediction  Indian summer monsoon  
On the Relationship Between Probabilistic and Deterministic Skills in Dynamical Seasonal Climate Prediction 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2018, 123 (10) : 5261-5283
作者:  Yang, Dejian;  Yang, Xiu-Qun;  Ye, Dan;  Sun, Xuguang;  Fang, Jiabei;  Chu, Cuijiao;  Feng, Tao;  Jiang, Yiquan;  Liang, Jin;  Ren, Xuejuan;  Zhang, Yaocun;  Tang, Youmin
收藏  |  浏览/下载：22/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
seasonal climate prediction  dynamical forecast  forecast skill  probabilistic forecast  deterministic forecast  reliability and resolution